Close menu




July 9th, 2021 | 10:58 CEST

GSP Resource, Steinhoff, K+S - Commodities, gambler stocks and traditional companies

  • Commodities
Photo credits: pixabay.com

Commodities have had a hard time finding lovers in recent years, and when the oil price turned negative in the wake of the Corona Crisis, hardly anyone would have expected such a revival. Despite the crisis, almost all commodity prices exploded. Another trend emerged as a result of the pandemic - the so-called meme stocks, where private investors meet on Reddit and pick a stock to buy, no matter what the fundamentals say. Traditional companies didn't have it easy during the crisis either, and many found that their business models were not crisis-proof. Today we have picked out three stocks that belong to the above mentioned divisions.

time to read: 4 minutes | Author: Armin Schulz
ISIN: GSP RESOURCE CORP. | CA36249G1090 , STEINHOFF INT.HLDG.EO-_50 | NL0011375019 , K+S AG NA O.N. | DE000KSAG888

Table of contents:


    Dr. Thomas Gutschlag, CEO, Deutsche Rohstoff AG
    "[...] China's dominance is one of the reasons why we are so heavily involved in the tungsten market. Here, around 85% of production is in Chinese hands. [...]" Dr. Thomas Gutschlag, CEO, Deutsche Rohstoff AG

    Full interview

     

    GSP Resource - Takeover candidate

    GSP Resource (GSP) is a Canadian junior explorer that owns two projects in southwestern British Columbia. Both projects are historic mining properties. The Olivine Mountain project, only fully acquired on May 19, is located in the Similkameen mining district and is 3,021 hectares in size. The property is located 25km southeast of the producing Copper Mountain copper mine. Other copper discoveries have also been made in the vicinity. Full Metal Minerals Ltd. has been granted an option to acquire 60% of the project.

    However, the main project is the Alwin Mine, from which copper, gold, and silver have been mined in the past. GSP has the option to acquire 100% of the area. In mid-May, a 3D model of the area was created as several underground structures allowed for more efficient planning of drill targets. The drilling program was started on June 3 and is designed to test the unmined areas of the deposit. Management is confident that an open pit operation can be operated economically due to rising copper prices.

    A private placement of CAD 350,000 was announced on June 23 to manage upcoming exploration efforts. The Company has a very small market capitalization of just CAD 5.24 million. Considering that the Alwin Mine is located just 2.5km west of the Highland Valley Mine, owned by Teck Corp, takeover fantasies come to mind. Once the drilling program results are available, it will be even easier to estimate the resources. Already after the announcement in May, the share jumped from CAD 0.27 to 0.50. Currently, the price has fallen back to CAD 0.28. Speculative investors can participate with a first position.

    Steinhoff - Balancing act between the Netherlands and South Africa

    Whether the struggle for survival of the Steinhoff Group since 2017 can be made successful in the end will be seen in the coming months. On September 3, the creditor negotiation will take place in Amsterdam. However, even a positive outcome of this date does not guarantee the Company's continuation because the creditors' meeting in South Africa must also approve the plans. If only one meeting of creditors votes against the plan, the restructuring will have failed.

    The group's main problem is its over-indebtedness of EUR 11.185 billion. Interest is altogether eating up the Company's profits. The management has actually done a good job. Despite the Corona Crisis, the group increased sales by 3.5% in the first half of the fiscal year and reported a profit of EUR 271 million, compared to EUR -655 million in the same period last year. The Company has divested itself of less lucrative lines of business and brought its existing stores back into profit. Interest is at EUR 597 million, pushing the figures into the red.

    Added to this are the complex negotiations and court cases. While a victory was achieved in Amsterdam and an appeal by Hamilton was shot down, there was a setback in South Africa. It is also the reason why the share price has plummeted. It is not easy to classify the ruling from South Africa correctly. It is a setback in any case. The Steinhoff share is only something for hardened gamblers who do not shy away from losses.

    K+S - The potash price is boosting the share

    The K+S share has been in a clear upward trend since the end of March. Since the end of June, the share has again gained more than 10%, until profit-taking began on Tuesday. The share is supported by news, such as the possible sanctions against a Belarus competitor, or positive analyst opinions, such as most recently from Kepler Cheuvreux, which issued a price target of EUR 22.

    Above all, however, the Company is being helped by the ever-increasing price of potash. Within seven months, the price of potash has increased by 140%. Most recently, more than USD 600 per ton was paid in Brazil. Even if there is consolidation after the rapid increase in prices, the high potash price helps the Company. The Company's 2012 expansion in Canada has built up high debt, which has been squeezed by EUR 560 million through a bond buyback.

    As long as the potash price remains high, the outlook for the commodity company is rosy, and the Company could reduce the debt faster than planned. Investors should pay attention to the EUR 10.92 mark, as the uptrend is broken if the share price closes below this level. We would wait for the consolidation to be completed and only then get in.


    Commodities continue to be on the upswing, also due to inflation. The European Central Bank wants to loosen monetary policy, thus further fueling inflation. This news is from July 8. No sooner had the news crossed the ticker, the price of gold jumped. GSP Resource is a potential takeover candidate because it owns an area right on the edge of a major commodity producer, and even without that takeover, commodities are valuable. In Steinhoff's case, the interest burden is so crushing that there will likely be little left for shareholders in the end. It remains a hot bet. K+S was founded in 1889 and benefits from high commodity prices; one should keep in mind that the share has already gone a long way.


    Conflict of interest

    Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as "Relevant Persons") may in the future hold shares or other financial instruments of the mentioned companies or will bet on rising or falling on rising or falling prices and therefore a conflict of interest may arise in the future. conflict of interest may arise in the future. The Relevant Persons reserve the shares or other financial instruments of the company at any time (hereinafter referred to as the company at any time (hereinafter referred to as a "Transaction"). "Transaction"). Transactions may under certain circumstances influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the of the Company.

    Furthermore, Apaton Finance GmbH reserves the right to enter into future relationships with the company or with third parties in relation to reports on the company. with regard to reports on the company, which are published within the scope of the Apaton Finance GmbH as well as in the social media, on partner sites or in e-mails, on partner sites or in e-mails. The above references to existing conflicts of interest apply apply to all types and forms of publication used by Apaton Finance GmbH uses for publications on companies.

    Risk notice

    Apaton Finance GmbH offers editors, agencies and companies the opportunity to publish commentaries, interviews, summaries, news and etc. on news.financial. These contents serve information for readers and does not constitute a call to action or recommendations, neither explicitly nor implicitly. implicitly, they are to be understood as an assurance of possible price be understood. The contents do not replace individual professional investment advice and do not constitute an offer to sell the share(s) offer to sell the share(s) or other financial instrument(s) in question, nor is it an nor an invitation to buy or sell such.

    The content is expressly not a financial analysis, but rather financial analysis, but rather journalistic or advertising texts. Readers or users who make investment decisions or carry out transactions on the basis decisions or transactions on the basis of the information provided here act completely at their own risk. There is no contractual relationship between between Apaton Finance GmbH and its readers or the users of its offers. users of its offers, as our information only refers to the company and not to the company, but not to the investment decision of the reader or user. or user.

    The acquisition of financial instruments entails high risks that can lead to the total loss of the capital invested. The information published by Apaton Finance GmbH and its authors are based on careful research on careful research, nevertheless no liability for financial losses financial losses or a content guarantee for topicality, correctness, adequacy and completeness of the contents offered here. contents offered here. Please also note our Terms of use.


    Der Autor

    Armin Schulz

    Born in Mönchengladbach, he studied business administration in the Netherlands. In the course of his studies he came into contact with the stock exchange for the first time. He has more than 25 years of experience in stock market business.

    About the author



    Related comments:

    Commented by Armin Schulz on May 4th, 2022 | 12:04 CEST

    K+S, Globex Mining, BHP Group - Commodity stocks for the next supercycle

    • Commodities
    • Investments
    • fertilizer

    Decarbonization is taking its toll. If you want to get out of fossil fuels, you need alternatives. But these alternatives require raw materials, some of which are not available in sufficient quantities. The result is rising prices. Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo see commodities at the beginning of a supercycle, which means that the rally in commodities will last longer than 10 years. Tight supply is now further torpedoed by the Ukraine crisis and supply chain problems visible in China's ports. It is terrible for the industry but good for commodity producers. Today we look at three companies that could benefit from a supercycle.

    Read

    Commented by Nico Popp on May 2nd, 2022 | 11:32 CEST

    Do not ignore ESG risks: Deutsche Bank, Ximen Mining, BYD

    • ESG
    • Investments
    • Commodities

    ESG is more than electric company cars, a paperless office and avoiding unnecessary air travel. Those who take the third pillar of the ESG approach seriously must also pay attention to good corporate governance. In the criteria of the index and data providers, good "governance" is about, among other things, management structures and sophisticated control instances at the corporate level. We explain why the "G" in ESG can bring tangible benefits to investors and how investors can invest in companies with good ESG criteria.

    Read

    Commented by André Will-Laudien on April 28th, 2022 | 13:32 CEST

    Alibaba, Netflix, Meta Platforms, Globex Mining - Find the best turnaround stocks in 2022!

    • Commodities
    • Investments

    Rising interest rates and inflation - Central banks worldwide now have to tighten the reins to keep demonetization from getting out of hand. Traditionally, technology stocks, which are otherwise in demand, tend to do poorly in such phases because they have higher financing costs. The higher discount rate makes corporate cash values less profitable than in low-interest rate environments. The NASDAQ-100 Index hit its high of 16,767 points in November 2021, just as the 10-year interest rate began to rise. Since then, the technology index has lost about 22%. But some stocks have more than halved in value. We take a closer look at the former high flyers.

    Read