Close menu




March 26th, 2026 | 07:15 CET

Defense Industry Under Stress: Bottlenecks at Rheinmetall and Lockheed – Almonty Industries Stands to Reap the Benefits

  • Mining
  • Tungsten
  • Defense
  • hightech
  • geopolitics
Photo credits: AI

The war in the Middle East is exposing the vulnerability of the global security architecture. While the US-led coalition's military operations against Iran, known as Operation Epic Fury, continue, US President Donald Trump's erratic communication is causing extreme uncertainty among military planners. In rapid succession, reports from the White House oscillate between triumphant declarations of victory, the announcement of American ground troops, and, shortly thereafter, the prospect of peace negotiations. This unpredictability collides with an alarming reality: even the arsenals of the world's greatest military power are emptying at a rapid pace. The massive use of precision weapons starkly reveals that the global arms industry is simply not equipped for intense wars of attrition or a further escalation of global tensions following the collapse of the existing world order. The real bottleneck in the arms industry is not a lack of government budgets, but the critical raw materials at the beginning of the supply chain. As a result, the market for tungsten and the producer Almonty Industries are coming into focus for investors. A unique opportunity beckons.

time to read: 3 minutes | Author: Nico Popp
ISIN: ALMONTY INDUSTRIES INC. | CA0203987072 | TSX: AII , NASDAQ: ALM , ASX: AII , RHEINMETALL AG | DE0007030009 , LOCKHEED MARTIN DL 1 | US5398301094

Table of contents:


    Lockheed Martin and the Production Dilemma

    The US defense giant Lockheed Martin exemplifies the industry's current scaling crisis. Although order books are bursting at the seams due to the sharp rise in demand, the production of highly complex weapons systems cannot be accelerated at will. In the first weeks of the Iran conflict, the US military fired hundreds of Tomahawk and JASSM guided missiles to neutralize enemy positions deep inside the country. However, the production of these systems lags far behind the enormous consumption. The annual production rate for complex Tomahawk cruise missiles is just over 100 units, while approximately 500 JASSM missiles are manufactured each year. Even with an immediate shift to full crisis mode and heavy government investment in manufacturing facilities, it would take years to increase output significantly. Trump himself, after initially claiming that American arsenals were inexhaustible, had to admit that stocks of such high-end systems are dangerously low.

    Rheinmetall Reaches Its Limits

    In Europe, Rheinmetall faces identical challenges. While the German defense contractor is reaping enormous financial benefits from the military turning point and the historically high defense budgets of European NATO countries, it is hitting the hard limits of its supply chains in operational terms. Rheinmetall is particularly reliant on a steady supply of special metals and chemical precursors for the production of standardized 155mm artillery ammunition, which is consumed in vast quantities on modern battlefields. The large-scale capacity expansions at European plants can only deliver the desired quantities if supply security for raw materials is fully guaranteed. This is precisely where the weak point of the entire Western defense alliance lies: decades of dependence on suppliers from Asian regions make the European defense industry extremely vulnerable to geopolitical upheavals. Without a secure supply of raw materials, production lines at Rheinmetall risk grinding to a halt.

    Tungsten: The Irreplaceable Bottleneck

    At the very heart of this raw materials crisis lies the transition metal tungsten, which is characterized by the highest melting point of any pure metal and a high physical density. Tungsten is essential for modern warfare, as it is used in armor-piercing ammunition, high-temperature-resistant rocket engines, turbine blades, and the electronics of guided missiles, and is often irreplaceable. The strategic problem facing the Western world lies in massive market concentration: China currently controls over 80% of global tungsten production and simultaneously dominates the downstream processing chain. The United States itself has not had any commercial tungsten production of its own for years. As the government in Beijing increasingly instrumentalizes the export of critical minerals as a geopolitical lever and significantly tightens export controls on dual-use goods, the Western defense industry faces a massive procurement problem. An imposed ban on tungsten supplies would quickly restrict production at companies like Lockheed Martin and Rheinmetall and ultimately bring them to a standstill.

    Price dip after super rally: Fundamentals remain solid at Almonty.

    Almonty Industries Secures Western Supply

    In this highly volatile geopolitical environment, Almonty Industries is positioning itself as virtually the only independent supplier of Western tungsten. The company is currently reactivating the historic Sangdong mine in South Korea, which has now reached the transition to commercial production following the completion of the first construction phase. Geologically, Sangdong is considered one of the largest and highest-quality tungsten deposits in the world. Once full production capacity is reached, Almonty Industries is estimated to be able to meet approximately 40% of total non-Chinese tungsten demand in the future. The company's management has wisely leveraged this exceptional strategic position to secure long-term off-take agreements with established industry leaders, making future cash flows highly predictable for years to come.

    On the capital market, Almonty's stock recently experienced a price setback amid high market volatility, which now opens an extremely attractive entry window for strategically oriented investors. Analysts at B. Riley Financial have recently raised the price target for the stock to USD 23.00. Investors find in Almonty a unique opportunity to invest specifically in the bottleneck of the defense industry and to benefit disproportionately from the inevitable realignment of the global security architecture.


    Conflict of interest

    Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as "Relevant Persons") currently hold or hold shares or other financial instruments of the aforementioned companies and speculate on their price developments. In this respect, they intend to sell or acquire shares or other financial instruments of the companies (hereinafter each referred to as a "Transaction"). Transactions may thereby influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the Company.
    In this respect, there is a concrete conflict of interest in the reporting on the companies.

    In addition, Apaton Finance GmbH is active in the context of the preparation and publication of the reporting in paid contractual relationships.
    For this reason, there is also a concrete conflict of interest.
    The above information on existing conflicts of interest applies to all types and forms of publication used by Apaton Finance GmbH for publications on companies.

    Risk notice

    Apaton Finance GmbH offers editors, agencies and companies the opportunity to publish commentaries, interviews, summaries, news and the like on news.financial. These contents are exclusively for the information of the readers and do not represent any call to action or recommendations, neither explicitly nor implicitly they are to be understood as an assurance of possible price developments. The contents do not replace individual expert investment advice and do not constitute an offer to sell the discussed share(s) or other financial instruments, nor an invitation to buy or sell such.

    The content is expressly not a financial analysis, but a journalistic or advertising text. Readers or users who make investment decisions or carry out transactions on the basis of the information provided here do so entirely at their own risk. No contractual relationship is established between Apaton Finance GmbH and its readers or the users of its offers, as our information only refers to the company and not to the investment decision of the reader or user.

    The acquisition of financial instruments involves high risks, which can lead to the total loss of the invested capital. The information published by Apaton Finance GmbH and its authors is based on careful research. Nevertheless, no liability is assumed for financial losses or a content-related guarantee for the topicality, correctness, appropriateness and completeness of the content provided here. Please also note our Terms of use.


    Der Autor

    Nico Popp

    At home in Southern Germany, the passionate stock exchange expert has been accompanying the capital markets for about twenty years. With a soft spot for smaller companies, he is constantly on the lookout for exciting investment stories.

    About the author



    Related comments:

    Commented by Lars Winter on September 29th, 2026 | 08:00 CEST

    Drone Contract for Volatus, AI Power Drives Infineon and a Beauty Boom at M1 Kliniken: Three Exciting Stocks Under the Microscope

    • Drones
    • Defense
    • hightech
    • cosmetics
    • AI
    • chips

    Drones for the Canadian military, chips for the AI boom, and beauty treatments with hefty margins: Stock market excitement comes in many forms. Volatus Aerospace could be on the verge of a growth spurt thanks to a Canadian military contract. Infineon is benefiting from data centres' insatiable appetite for power, while M1 Kliniken is ramping up its beauty business. Three different stories with one thing in common: operational progress could translate into further share price gains. We take a closer look at these three exciting stocks in our stock analysis.

    Read

    Commented by Nico Popp on September 29th, 2026 | 07:25 CEST

    Nevada Reshuffles: Barrick, Newmont and SSR Mining Pursue New Projects – Phenom Resources in the Middle of It

    • Mining
    • Gold
    • Commodities
    • Investments
    • BatteryMetals

    Gold is more relevant than ever. Persistent geopolitical risks and inflation concerns are driving investors increasingly toward the traditional safe haven. After a record high above USD 5,500 in January, the price of an ounce of gold traded around USD 4,150 at the end of September despite the recent correction, still firmly at historically elevated levels. For established producers in the US state of Nevada, this price environment is generating substantial cash flows, while operating costs for ongoing mining operations are also rising. This is forcing major mining companies to rethink their strategies and is creating new opportunities for agile exploration companies operating in the same region.

    Read

    Commented by Jens Castner on September 29th, 2026 | 07:15 CEST

    Raw Materials, Defense and Aerospace: Spectacular Price Targets for Almonty, Renk and OHB

    • Tungsten
    • CriticalMetals
    • aerospace
    • Defense
    • hightech
    • geopolitics

    September is traditionally not the best month for the stock market, which is why the DAX, Dow Jones, and others have struggled recently. During these periods, it is worth looking at second- and third-tier stocks. After all, individual stocks in this segment offer tremendous potential—if analysts are to be believed. Sensational studies were released last week on Almonty Industries, Renk and OHB. At first glance, a mining company, a transmission manufacturer, and a satellite builder have little in common. But on closer inspection, all three raise the question of how independent the West wants to be in the future when it comes to raw materials, defense, and space infrastructure. All three stocks are trading well below their all-time highs and offer upside potential ranging from 60% to over 100%.

    Read