May 4th, 2021 | 07:05 CEST
TUI, Deutsche Bank, Troilus Gold: Three shares for a golden decade
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"[...] We have a clear strategy for neutralizing sovereign risk in Papua New Guinea. [...]" Matthew Salthouse, CEO, Kainantu Resources
TUI: This share stands for travel enthusiasm
TUI's stock has gained about 100% over the course of a year. The travel Company was valued like a bankruptcy candidate right after the pandemic broke out. Since then, TUI has received billions from the state and there is light at the end of the tunnel. People are digging in their heels and want to travel. As a top dog and world-famous travel group, TUI is predestined to profit from the travel boom after the pandemic.
Even though the pandemic was a considerable blow for TUI, as a shareholder, you can also derive something good from it: TUI streamlined itself during the tough quarters last year and cut costs drastically. For the summer, TUI expected business to be at 80% of normal levels. The extent to which this can be mastered remains open as of today. In some German states, the summer vacations start as early as June. Given the sluggish discussion about freedom for vaccinated persons, it is not certain that the travel business will pick up again so soon. But the fall also offers potential for sales in the travel industry. TUI's stock is already trading at 2019 levels and could develop further potential.
Deutsche Bank: Hope, but no more
The Deutsche Bank share recently put on a dynamic performance not seen for a long time: the value climbed by almost 20% in just five trading days. What had happened? The bank reported a profit again. Investment banking, in particular, was doing well again. In addition, there is the latent hope that the low-interest phase will come to an end. Inflation, after all, is already twitching upwards in a threatening manner for many market participants. If interest rates rise again, banks will also be able to earn more in their bread-and-butter business. But that is not yet the case!
Although the current figures and the prospect of higher interest rates give cause for hope, the lifting of the insolvency moratorium, which has been in force since the beginning of May, could put banks under further pressure in the late phase of the pandemic. Although Deutsche Bank has also recovered, not all risks have evaporated. The recent rise is driven by speculation.
Troilus Gold: Is a gigantic gold-copper mine being built here?
The stock of Troilus Gold is also a speculative value. Nevertheless, the Company is pursuing an approach that can also convince conservative investors. Troilus already took over the gold project of the same name in 2017. Unlike many other projects, this is not a property that consists only of rocks and meadows. The Troilus Gold Project was already active in open pit mining between 1996 and 2010 and produced 2 million ounces of gold. The unique thing about the property is that the operator at the time was notoriously frugal when gold prices were low and hardly invested in exploration. Today, Troilus Gold can take advantage of this negligence.
In the past few years, the Company has succeeded in gradually expanding its resources and, as of today, can report an indicated 4.96 million ounces of gold and an inferred 3.15 million ounces of gold. In addition to gold, the mine also has copper deposits. During the historical production phase, the operators produced close to 70,000 tons of the industrial metal. The combination of copper and gold sounds promising. Gold is seen as a reserve currency and diversification asset in times of rising inflation rates, and copper benefits directly from the global economy's growth and sparks electric car fantasy. Due to its historical production, Troilus Gold is integrated into an operational infrastructure, bringing cost advantages in case of a production decision.
Initial economic feasibility studies are available and envision a mine life of more than twenty years. Despite its progress and clear prospects, the Company is currently valued at only EUR 97 million. Also, from a chart perspective, the value looks neither overheated nor like selling pressure. Troilus Gold is thus a prominent option for gold investors.
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