Close menu




June 6th, 2024 | 07:00 CEST

Rally start for biotech! Evotec, Bayer, Defence Therapeutics, CureVac and BioNTech in pole position

  • Biotechnology
  • Pharma
Photo credits: pixabay.com

Sell in May and go Away! Far from it, as the stock markets continue to rise steadily in June. After a disappointing start to the year, the biotech sector is now also showing signs of recovery. Bayer and Evotec seem to have found their footing with improved outlooks. BioNTech, CureVac and Defence Therapeutics are providing promising data on various cancer vaccines. Whoever opens the door here can save millions of lives. And investors stand to make a fortune if one of the vaccines hits the mark. We analyze the opportunities and risks.

time to read: 4 minutes | Author: André Will-Laudien
ISIN: EVOTEC SE INH O.N. | DE0005664809 , BAYER AG NA O.N. | DE000BAY0017 , DEFENCE THERAPEUTICS INC | CA24463V1013 , CUREVAC N.V. O.N. | NL0015436031 , BIONTECH SE SPON. ADRS 1 | US09075V1026

Table of contents:


    David Elsley, CEO, Cardiol Therapeutics Inc.
    "[...] As a company dedicated to developing treatments for rare heart diseases, we see this as an opportune moment to contribute to the fight against heart disease and make meaningful strides in improving heart health worldwide. [...]" David Elsley, CEO, Cardiol Therapeutics Inc.

    Full interview

     

    Evotec and Bayer - Keeping a daily watch will not hurt

    On June 10, the new Evotec management will have to take a stand on all outstanding issues at the Annual General Meeting. There was the devastating cyber attack in 2023, the inglorious departure of former CEO Dr. Lanthaler, and the hopeful outlook for 2024. At the beginning of June, Evotec's share price fell again to around EUR 8.35, forming a double bottom from a technical perspective. After all, the share price came from around EUR 24 and has now lost two-thirds of its peak value. The reported collaboration with Qiagen is a positive sign, but the coming weeks will be crucial. On July 1, the new CEO, Christian Wojczewski, will take office and a few weeks later, on August 6, there will be an update on the medium-term outlook as part of the half-year report. Stay tuned.

    Bayer also consolidated again at the beginning of June to around EUR 26.90. However, the shares regained an important breakout line at EUR 28.70 yesterday. The positive sentiment is likely due to the reduced fine for the latest glyphosate decision from Philadelphia. Originally, the plaintiff had demanded the utopian sum of USD 2.25 billion. Damages of this magnitude are only possible in the US. Bayer brought the problems surrounding the glyphosate-based weed killer Roundup into the Company in 2018 with the USD 60 billion takeover of US company Monsanto. A first judgment against the new pharmaceutical giant followed in the same year. Bayer has lost a horrendous EUR 100 billion in market value since the Monsanto takeover. Nobody knows today when the political situation on this issue will really ease. Watch!

    Defence Therapeutics - The timing could not be better

    The Canadian biotech specialist Defence Therapeutics develops immuno-oncology vaccines and drug delivery technologies. The main target is cancer. To this end, the Company developed its proprietary Accum™ platform, which enables the precise delivery of vaccine antigens or ADCs in their intact form to the target cells. The recent approval of AccuTOX® as one of the company's first first-in-class therapies was a huge step forward for Defence in the field of immuno-oncology.

    It is now reported that several new patents have been granted, and applications have been accepted for various patent families across Defence's diverse portfolio. Defence'sDefence's vaccine enhancement platform technology, based on the simple combination of Accum™ and variants of this platform with specific antigens, is further strengthened by the recent approval of US Patent Application No. 18/169,440 by the US Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO). Importantly, this patent family is the first to comprehensively cover the ARM anti-cancer vaccine platform. Recent preclinical studies with the ARM-002 vaccine suggest an effective antitumor response in in vivo melanoma, lymphoma and pancreatic cancer models when combined with the anti-PD-1 immune checkpoint inhibitor. The patents sought include claims covering a method of improving the immunogenicity of the polypeptide antigen, wherein a covalent conjugation of any antigen is performed in conjunction with Accum™ or a variant thereof. This also applies to potential vaccine compositions.

    "We are very pleased to announce the issuance of these patents and the allowance of the patent applications covering our ADC and vaccine platforms. This underscores our continued pursuit of innovation and our relentless commitment to improving human health," said CEO Mr Plouffe.

    An expedited review of the remaining applications in the vaccine platform patent families is currently underway through the Patent Prosecution Highway (PPH) program in connection with these claims. Therefore, new patents in these families are expected to be granted soon. This paves the way for the upcoming Phase I clinical trials. The Defence share is currently stabilizing noticeably in the CAD 1.00 to 1.50 range. The share is also being traded actively again in Germany. No wonder, as the Phase I studies mark the beginning of the clinical phase. Major pharmaceutical companies are likely already positioning themselves.

    BioNTech versus CureVac - That sounds promising

    BioNTech and CureVac are also well-known in the field of vaccinations. BioNTech and its partner Genmab recently presented data on their promising antibody at the ASCO 2024 conference in Chicago. The drug acasunlimab showed significant success in the treatment of metastatic non-small cell lung cancer. Judith Klimovsky of Genmab announced plans for a Phase 3 pivotal study to further develop acasunlimab, which is expected to start before the end of 2024. BioNTech's share price has already reacted significantly to this news, rising from EUR 86 to EUR 91. One should still only observe for now, as the technical breakout will only occur once the EUR 105 mark has been overcome.

    CureVac is also worth a look at the moment. Since the end of April, the share has seen a 100% rally from EUR 2.07 to EUR 4.18 yesterday. The Tübingen-based biotech company has vaccinated the first test subject in a Phase 2 study with a multivalent vaccine candidate against seasonal influenza. The new mRNA-based vaccine is designed to cover all three influenza strains recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO). CureVac is collaborating with GSK to develop the vaccine. For CureVac, this represents a truly new opportunity after the embarrassing COVID-19 failure and a 98% crash since 2021. Let's see what else GSK has in store for CureVac.

    In the 6-month view, BioNTech and Bayer are already on the road to recovery, CureVac has even shown a decent rally recently. Defence and Evotec could now form lower reversal formations. Source: Refinitiv Eikon from 05.06.2024

    High-tech and defense are driving the major indices. However, biotech stocks are also slowly making their way back up. Players continue to speculate on possible interest rate cuts by central banks. After a two-year break, some prominent biotech stocks have already reached attractive levels. When the sector rotation sets in, things could go up very quickly here.


    Conflict of interest

    Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as "Relevant Persons") currently hold or hold shares or other financial instruments of the aforementioned companies and speculate on their price developments. In this respect, they intend to sell or acquire shares or other financial instruments of the companies (hereinafter each referred to as a "Transaction"). Transactions may thereby influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the Company.
    In this respect, there is a concrete conflict of interest in the reporting on the companies.

    In addition, Apaton Finance GmbH is active in the context of the preparation and publication of the reporting in paid contractual relationships.
    For this reason, there is also a concrete conflict of interest.
    The above information on existing conflicts of interest applies to all types and forms of publication used by Apaton Finance GmbH for publications on companies.

    Risk notice

    Apaton Finance GmbH offers editors, agencies and companies the opportunity to publish commentaries, interviews, summaries, news and the like on news.financial. These contents are exclusively for the information of the readers and do not represent any call to action or recommendations, neither explicitly nor implicitly they are to be understood as an assurance of possible price developments. The contents do not replace individual expert investment advice and do not constitute an offer to sell the discussed share(s) or other financial instruments, nor an invitation to buy or sell such.

    The content is expressly not a financial analysis, but a journalistic or advertising text. Readers or users who make investment decisions or carry out transactions on the basis of the information provided here do so entirely at their own risk. No contractual relationship is established between Apaton Finance GmbH and its readers or the users of its offers, as our information only refers to the company and not to the investment decision of the reader or user.

    The acquisition of financial instruments involves high risks, which can lead to the total loss of the invested capital. The information published by Apaton Finance GmbH and its authors is based on careful research. Nevertheless, no liability is assumed for financial losses or a content-related guarantee for the topicality, correctness, appropriateness and completeness of the content provided here. Please also note our Terms of use.


    Der Autor

    André Will-Laudien

    Born in Munich, he first studied economics and graduated in business administration at the Ludwig-Maximilians-University in 1995. As he was involved with the stock market at a very early stage, he now has more than 30 years of experience in the capital markets.

    About the author



    Related comments:

    Commented by André Will-Laudien on July 25th, 2024 | 08:20 CEST

    BioNTech, CureVac, Bayer, Cardiol Therapeutics, and Evotec: Tripled and still in turbo mode?

    • Biotechnology
    • Biotech
    • Pharma

    On the stock market, separating the wheat from the chaff is essential, especially in the biotech sector. This task becomes challenging when ongoing studies conclude, and their results must be interpreted. The market does not always react correctly to announcements, as evidenced by this year's acquisition of MorphoSys. While the stock market rejected the supposedly poor results, Novartis built up the first favourable positions, ultimately acquiring the Munich-based company for EUR 2.7 billion. From a low of around EUR 12, the acquisition price was a high EUR 68, making it a 500% deal. But opportunities are always lurking. Here is a selection of promising candidates.

    Read

    Commented by Fabian Lorenz on July 24th, 2024 | 06:30 CEST

    BioNTech, Bayer, Vidac Pharma: Buy recommendations and potential worth billions

    • Biotechnology
    • Pharma
    • Biotech

    Can BioNTech shares stop the downward trend? A "Buy" recommendation gives hope. According to this recommendation, the shares of the German biotech flagship have the potential to double in value. Analysts believe a multiplication is possible for Vidac Pharma. The biotech company is pursuing a revolutionary approach in the fight against cancer, and the first drug has a revenue potential of over EUR 1 billion. Even though research is still ongoing, Vidac is not expensive with a market capitalization of less than EUR 10 million, and is a takeover candidate if the study data remain positive. Analysts do not currently see any impetus for an increase in Bayer's share price. However, shareholders should be ready for news from the pharmaceutical pipeline in the coming weeks. These are important for the DAX-listed company.

    Read

    Commented by Fabian Lorenz on July 23rd, 2024 | 06:50 CEST

    70% with Evotec shares? Caution with BASF? Almonty Industries tempts investors to get in!

    • Mining
    • Tungsten
    • hightech
    • chemicals
    • Biotechnology

    Will BASF miss market expectations in the second half of the year? Analysts believe so. The chemical giant's revenues are already expected to fall in the second quarter. So, should one sell the shares now? The Evotec share was bought yesterday. Analysts believe that the profit warning from Sartorius should not be overestimated and see over 70% upside potential. However, patience is required. The Almonty Industries share also appears too favourable. The commissioning of a huge tungsten mine is imminent, and not only companies such as Taiwan Semiconductor and Rheinmetall need the critical metal for their high-tech products. So, when will the share break out?

    Read