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August 17th, 2022 | 13:05 CEST

Over 200% share price potential? Analysts on BioNTech, BASF and Saturn Oil + Gas

  • Mining
  • Oil
  • Biotechnology
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The stock markets are friendly this week and the summer rally continues. Analysts still see room for improvement in the BioNTech share. The German biotech leader could be in for a golden autumn. Its product pipeline is promising. High energy prices and a looming gas shock in winter are causing trouble for the share of BASF. Analysts are also divided: "outperform" or "sell"? At Saturn Oil & Gas, free cash flow could almost reach the level of current market capitalization in the coming year. Therefore, analysts predict a revaluation potential and a share price potential of more than 200%. After all, investor legend Warren Buffett also backs oil producers.

time to read: 3 minutes | Author: Fabian Lorenz
ISIN: BIONTECH SE SPON. ADRS 1 | US09075V1026 , BASF SE NA O.N. | DE000BASF111 , Saturn Oil + Gas Inc. | CA80412L8832

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    Dr. Thomas Gutschlag, CEO, Deutsche Rohstoff AG
    "[...] China's dominance is one of the reasons why we are so heavily involved in the tungsten market. Here, around 85% of production is in Chinese hands. [...]" Dr. Thomas Gutschlag, CEO, Deutsche Rohstoff AG

    Full interview


    Saturn Oil & Gas: Analysts see over 200% share price potential

    After a virtual roadshow, analysts at Eight Capital are confident in the potential of Saturn Oil & Gas shares. With a target price of CAD 7.50, they recommend buying the shares of the Canadian oil producer. Currently, the share is quoted at CAD 2.37. Saturn Oil & Gas is on track to create additional value from the acquired assets. Therefore, the current valuation is a buying opportunity. The market is still paying too little attention to free cash flow growth and the possibility of debt reduction. Moreover, there would be other internal catalysts to justify a re-rating of the stock.

    Ongoing extended reach horizontal drilling at the Viking project would significantly increase profitability. This could also be applied to the Alberta project. These are examples of the Company being a world-class operator. Saturn Oil & Gas is on track to meet its second-half 2022 production guidance of 12.3 MBOE/d. With that, analysts also expect the free cash flow to turn around. They added that the valuation and FCF return profile of Saturn Oil & Gas continues to be at a WTI price of USD 65. Free cash flow is expected to increase to CAD 131 million as early as next year. Currently, the entire company is valued at CAD 140 million. Interesting: Investor legend Waren Buffett also seems convinced by the oil sector. The Oracle from Omaha has consistently increased his stake in the US oil company Occidental in recent months.

    BioNTech stock USD 312 or just USD 200?

    The BioNTech share is currently digesting the slightly disappointing quarterly figures. The analysts at Berenberg expect that the share price could soon head north again. They have renewed the buy recommendation and set a price target of USD 312. The sales target with the COVID-19 vaccine is still achievable, even if the revenues in the second quarter were below expectations. The booster vaccines adapted to new variants are expected to be approved by the authorities in the US and Europe in September. The order books should then also fill up again quickly. Goldman Sachs analysts are more cautious about BioNTech's potential. They rate the stock as "Neutral" with a price target of USD 200. After second-quarter revenue and earnings figures came in below expectations, earnings forecasts for 2022 to 2025 were reduced. Currently, the BioNTech share is trading at around EUR 160.

    BASF: Can raw material and energy prices be passed on?

    Low levels, high energy prices, a gas levy and an impending gas shortage in winter: Hardly any German company is suffering as much as BASF from the current situation. And with the Company, so are its shareholders. The share is trading at EUR 44, not far from its 5-year low. And yet, against the immense risks, it is surprising that the analysts at Bernstein still see a price potential of over 50%. Their optimism is based on BASF's US agricultural business. The latest US Department of Agriculture data on corn and soybean inventories suggest that the German group's business is picking up. Therefore, the analysts have set a price target of EUR 72. UBS, on the other hand, advises selling BASF shares. Their price target is EUR 37. Although the chemical group is better prepared for the low water levels of the Rhine than in 2018, production restrictions can no longer be ruled out. In particular, the supply of coal is a cause for concern.

    BioNTech is currently recovering from relatively weak quarterly figures and could generate new share price gains in the fall with its new booster vaccines. Should Saturn Oil & Gas achieve a free cash flow of CAD 131 million in the coming year - as expected by Eight Capital - the stock would be a real bargain. At present, only investors with strong nerves are likely to buy BASF.

    Conflict of interest

    Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as "Relevant Persons") may hold shares or other financial instruments of the aforementioned companies in the future or may bet on rising or falling prices and thus a conflict of interest may arise in the future. The Relevant Persons reserve the right to buy or sell shares or other financial instruments of the Company at any time (hereinafter each a "Transaction"). Transactions may, under certain circumstances, influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the Company.

    In addition, Apaton Finance GmbH is active in the context of the preparation and publication of the reporting in paid contractual relationships.

    For this reason, there is a concrete conflict of interest.

    The above information on existing conflicts of interest applies to all types and forms of publication used by Apaton Finance GmbH for publications on companies.

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    Der Autor

    Fabian Lorenz

    For more than twenty years, the Cologne native has been intensively involved with the stock market, both professionally and privately. He is particularly passionate about national and international small and micro caps.

    About the author

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