Close menu




July 20th, 2022 | 13:18 CEST

Nel with a liberation blow - When will Varta and Almonty Industries take off?

  • Tungsten
  • Electromobility
Photo credits: pixabay.com

Nel has long been one of the hopefuls in the hydrogen sector. But recently, Plug Power had somewhat outstripped the Norwegians. The reason: a lack of major orders at Nel to justify its billion-euro valuation. The major order has now finally arrived, and the stock is stepping on the gas. Since Monday, it has already gained more than 10%, and analysts see further room for improvement. It should also boost other shares along the renewable energy value chain: For example, battery manufacturer Varta and raw material producer Almonty Industries. Almonty, which is actually on its way to becoming the largest tungsten producer outside China, has published convincing estimates for a molybdenum project. With Varta, on the other hand, caution is the order of the day. The chart is battered and another insider sale adds to the uncertainty.

time to read: 3 minutes | Author: Fabian Lorenz
ISIN: NEL ASA NK-_20 | NO0010081235 , VARTA AG O.N. | DE000A0TGJ55 , ALMONTY INDUSTRIES INC. | CA0203981034

Table of contents:


    Dr. Thomas Gutschlag, CEO, Deutsche Rohstoff AG
    "[...] China's dominance is one of the reasons why we are so heavily involved in the tungsten market. Here, around 85% of production is in Chinese hands. [...]" Dr. Thomas Gutschlag, CEO, Deutsche Rohstoff AG

    Full interview

     

    Almonty: Not only tungsten but also molybdenum

    Almonty Industries is known for its tungsten projects. The Canadians operate mines in Spain and Portugal: but the trigger for the share is in South Korea. There, Almonty is currently building the Sangdong tungsten mine. When fully commissioned, the Sangdong mine will be the largest tungsten mine in the world. Almonty would then be responsible for 50% of the world's tungsten production outside China, making it strategically important for the security of supply in Western industrialized countries. Tungsten is indispensable for the modern high-tech industry. In electromobility, tungsten is on its way to overtaking the environmentally harmful cobalt.

    But Almonty also has other exciting projects. For example, a molybdenum deposit is located right next to the Sangdong mine. On Monday, an initial resource estimate of this AKM project was released: 21.48 million tonnes at 0.26% MoS2 with a cutoff grade of 0.19% MoS2. CEO Lewis Black commented, "We are pleased that based on a review of previous exploration work, the MRE shows significant potential. The deposit appears to be open in multiple directions and also has the potential to delineate a high-grade zone within the current ore body. The project can be operated concurrently with our tungsten mine as both can utilize the same existing mining infrastructure, dramatically reducing development costs." Almonty's shares are also traded in Germany and are trading in a narrow range between EUR 0.56 and EUR 0.74 this year (currently EUR 0.63). Given the importance of the Sangdong mine, the market capitalization of around EUR 140 million appears attractive.

    Nel: Liberation strike successful and analysts see more potential

    Investors have been waiting a long time for a major order at Nel. Now the time has finally come, and the share reacted with a jump in price. Nel's subsidiary Nel Hydrogen Electrolyser will supply alkaline electrolyzers with a capacity of 200 MW to the USA. The client was not yet named, but it is said to be an existing customer. The order is worth more than EUR 45 million and delivery is expected to be completed by mid-2024. An order extension is not ruled out, Nel said. Nel CEO Håkon Volldal said, "We are pleased to announce the largest order ever for Nel. This project will demonstrate Nel's delivery and execution capabilities on a large scale and will be a valuable reference for future large orders." Volldal expects a significant, positive impact on practically all levels of the Company: financials, electrolyzer product and production costs, technology development and scale-up plans. Analysts also expressed positive views. Goldman Sachs, Jefferies and RBC recommend Nel shares as a buy, with price targets of the equivalent of EUR 2.05 to EUR 2.24. The stock is currently trading at EUR 1.54.

    Varta: Chart-technically battered and insiders sell

    Shareholders of Varta currently have little reason to rejoice. The share of the battery specialist is quoted just above EUR 70 and is dangerously close to the 52-week low of EUR 68. If the share price slips below this mark, there is the threat of a further sell-off - in the worst case, down to the 3-year low at EUR 50. Investors are waiting in vain for positive company news - such as a cooperation partner in the field of batteries for electric cars. On the contrary: insider Prof. Dr Michael Tojner is selling shares again. The majority shareholder and Supervisory Board member sold 200,000 shares at a price of EUR 78 on July 11. The value of the package was thus over EUR 15 million. This was his second course of action within a few weeks, as he had already sold Varta shares in a volume of EUR 22 million in June. This is anything but confidence-building.


    Nel's burst of freedom shows how quickly a share can go up. Almonty also seems ripe for such a move. At Varta, there is nothing to indicate this.


    Conflict of interest

    Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as "Relevant Persons") may hold shares or other financial instruments of the aforementioned companies in the future or may bet on rising or falling prices and thus a conflict of interest may arise in the future. The Relevant Persons reserve the right to buy or sell shares or other financial instruments of the Company at any time (hereinafter each a "Transaction"). Transactions may, under certain circumstances, influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the Company.

    In addition, Apaton Finance GmbH is active in the context of the preparation and publication of the reporting in paid contractual relationships.

    For this reason, there is a concrete conflict of interest.

    The above information on existing conflicts of interest applies to all types and forms of publication used by Apaton Finance GmbH for publications on companies.

    Risk notice

    Apaton Finance GmbH offers editors, agencies and companies the opportunity to publish commentaries, interviews, summaries, news and the like on news.financial. These contents are exclusively for the information of the readers and do not represent any call to action or recommendations, neither explicitly nor implicitly they are to be understood as an assurance of possible price developments. The contents do not replace individual expert investment advice and do not constitute an offer to sell the discussed share(s) or other financial instruments, nor an invitation to buy or sell such.

    The content is expressly not a financial analysis, but a journalistic or advertising text. Readers or users who make investment decisions or carry out transactions on the basis of the information provided here do so entirely at their own risk. No contractual relationship is established between Apaton Finance GmbH and its readers or the users of its offers, as our information only refers to the company and not to the investment decision of the reader or user.

    The acquisition of financial instruments involves high risks, which can lead to the total loss of the invested capital. The information published by Apaton Finance GmbH and its authors is based on careful research. Nevertheless, no liability is assumed for financial losses or a content-related guarantee for the topicality, correctness, appropriateness and completeness of the content provided here. Please also note our Terms of use.


    Der Autor

    Fabian Lorenz

    For more than twenty years, the Cologne native has been intensively involved with the stock market, both professionally and privately. He is particularly passionate about national and international small and micro caps.

    About the author



    Related comments:

    Commented by Fabian Lorenz on September 4th, 2024 | 07:00 CEST

    BMW focuses on hydrogen! Takeover (fantasy) at BYD, Nel and dynaCERT

    • Hydrogen
    • Electromobility
    • renewableenergies
    • greenhydrogen

    BMW recently sold more electric vehicles in Germany than Tesla. However, the Munich-based company does not want to rest on its laurels and is working on various propulsion systems - including hydrogen! BMW plans to intensify its collaboration with Toyota on fuel cells, demonstrating that hydrogen technology remains in demand among global giants. This also fuels the takeover fantasy at Nel. Could the same be true for dynaCERT? The Company's hydrogen technology reduces emissions in diesel vehicles, and the new CEO has strong connections in Europe. And what is BYD doing? So far, the German market has not been fully penetrated, but now the Chinese company is looking to make a significant push.

    Read

    Commented by Juliane Zielonka on September 3rd, 2024 | 07:15 CEST

    Volkswagen, Altech Advanced Materials, NIO: Global race for the best solutions in e-mobility and energy storage

    • Electromobility
    • Batteries
    • renewableenergies

    The energy and automotive sectors are in a state of flux. Volkswagen is implementing drastic cost-cutting measures for its oldest employees and, at the same time, losing market share in the electric vehicle sector. Altech Advanced Materials, on the other hand, is presenting an innovative solution for stationary energy storage with the CERENERGY® solid-state battery. This technology could revolutionize the market for large-scale storage systems and make companies less dependent on regional power supplies. NIO, an up-and-coming electric vehicle manufacturer from China, is revolutionizing the energy supply for electric vehicles with its battery swap system. In doing so, they offer an innovative solution to the biggest pain point for EV drivers to date: charging time. Which company stands for the best forward-looking innovation?

    Read

    Commented by Armin Schulz on September 2nd, 2024 | 07:00 CEST

    Almonty Industries, Rheinmetall, Intel - The invisible engine of high-tech applications is called tungsten!

    • Mining
    • Tungsten
    • hightech
    • Defense
    • Technology
    • AI

    Tungsten, often operating behind the scenes, plays a central role in some of the most innovative and technologically sophisticated industries in the world. As a high-tech raw material, tungsten is essential for the production of modern microchips and electronic devices that shape our everyday lives. At the same time, it is an indispensable component in the defense industry, where its exceptional hardness and resilience contribute significantly to the development of advanced weapons systems. Due to its properties, tungsten is also being used increasingly in batteries. Nevertheless, the importance of this critical raw material is often underestimated.

    Read