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April 19th, 2022 | 14:10 CEST

Hotter than crypto: K+S, Nevada Copper, Shell

  • Copper
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While moderate inflation is considered an acceptable accompaniment to a recovery, inflation rates beyond the 7 or even 8% mark are poison for the economy. The first industry associations from the construction sector expect residential construction to slump significantly in 2023. Examples include the Bavarian Housing Industry Association (VdW). According to this, around 86% of housing cooperatives and socially-oriented developers rate the prospects for new construction as "poor" or "very poor". The reasons lie in rapidly rising prices for building materials, which make costing difficult. Accordingly, some craft businesses will no longer accept orders for far in the future to avoid taking risks. China's zero-COVID strategy is also repeatedly causing problems. We present three companies that will be able to deliver in 2023.

time to read: 3 minutes | Author: Nico Popp
ISIN: NEVADA COPPER CORP. | CA64128F7039 , K+S AG NA O.N. | DE000KSAG888 , Shell PLC | GB00BP6MXD84

Table of contents:

    K+S: Fertilizer more in demand than Bitcoin

    Fertilizer producer K+S is currently on the upswing. The war in Ukraine has led to wheat becoming increasingly scarce. Sunflower oil is also in demand as never before. Even if the distribution struggles in German discounters are more the result of panic and greed, the environment is brightening for all companies around fertilizer production. To prevent shortages, farmers need to increase yields. The best way to do this is with potent seeds and sufficient fertilizer. K+S was recently able to increase its profit forecast significantly. Instead of EUR 1.9 billion as before, K+S now expects EBITDA of EUR 2.3 to 2.6 billion. And the reason: Fertilizer has become even more expensive than the energy needed to produce it.

    The K+S share has been taking off for months and is currently drawing a chart picture reminiscent of a crypto stock in 2020. Within just one year, the share price has risen by 322%. Currently, the share is trading at EUR 35 and is heading for long-term chart marks beyond EUR 40. At that time, inflation was significantly lower, and the euro crisis kept the world on tenterhooks. Despite the momentum around K+S, investors should keep in mind that the Group has prepared its updated earnings estimate, assuming there will be no gas shortage. However, investors must anticipate black swans in these times. K+S is a share that should already be held in a portfolio. An entry is only advisable for experienced investors.

    Nevada Copper: Record production at the right time

    Investors need a sense of timing and patience with Nevada Copper. The copper producer from the US state of the same name is ramping up its Pumpkin Hollow underground mine these months and expects to produce 77 million pounds of copper a year there in the future. Next door is the open pit project of the same name, which has already been approved and for which a preliminary feasibility study is available. Another 200 million pounds of copper are to follow here. On top of that, Nevada Copper has four exploration projects. The Company has set itself the goal of establishing a copper district and making the US industry less dependent on imports. In doing so, Nevada Copper is following a trend.

    Also on board as financing partners are the German KfW Bank and the anchor shareholders Solway and Mercuria. They each hold 10.4% of the Company and decided to become involved only a few months ago. Just recently, Nevada Copper announced record production and looks to remain on track. "We are pleased with the progress being made at Pumpkin Hollow underground mine, the open pit project and exploration initiatives," said Nevada Copper CEO and President Randy Buffington. "The team has done a remarkable job of safely advancing the ramp-up in key areas of development, mining and processing. We look forward to continuing this progress toward stable production as planned over the course of this year." The stock has been bobbing sideways for months with a falling trend. Investors with a soft spot for such projects should not disregard the stock. Potential could quickly emerge here.

    Shell: Prepared for all eventualities

    Companies like Shell are currently doing well. Energy prices are exploding. In addition, governments are frantically trying to get renewable energy sources on the road as quickly as possible. Shell was an early adopter of wind farms and can now sit back and relax about what governments decide. Whether fossil energy from other sources or wind power - the Group is well-positioned. The share has gained more than 20% in the past three months and is on a long-term upward trend. At EUR 30, however, the rally could find its end for the time being. The share reached its interim high at this level before the pandemic.

    However, the share is not uninteresting, as it currently offers a dividend yield of more than 3%. In the energy sector and the fertilizer and copper sectors, profits are likely to bubble up for all companies that can deliver. The junior producer Nevada Copper could offer particular growth potential - after all, the production quotas are increasing bit by bit and uncertainty is still priced in.

    Conflict of interest

    Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as "Relevant Persons") may hold shares or other financial instruments of the aforementioned companies in the future or may bet on rising or falling prices and thus a conflict of interest may arise in the future. The Relevant Persons reserve the right to buy or sell shares or other financial instruments of the Company at any time (hereinafter each a "Transaction"). Transactions may, under certain circumstances, influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the Company.

    In addition, Apaton Finance GmbH is active in the context of the preparation and publication of the reporting in paid contractual relationships.

    For this reason, there is a concrete conflict of interest.

    The above information on existing conflicts of interest applies to all types and forms of publication used by Apaton Finance GmbH for publications on companies.

    Risk notice

    Apaton Finance GmbH offers editors, agencies and companies the opportunity to publish commentaries, interviews, summaries, news and the like on These contents are exclusively for the information of the readers and do not represent any call to action or recommendations, neither explicitly nor implicitly they are to be understood as an assurance of possible price developments. The contents do not replace individual expert investment advice and do not constitute an offer to sell the discussed share(s) or other financial instruments, nor an invitation to buy or sell such.

    The content is expressly not a financial analysis, but a journalistic or advertising text. Readers or users who make investment decisions or carry out transactions on the basis of the information provided here do so entirely at their own risk. No contractual relationship is established between Apaton Finance GmbH and its readers or the users of its offers, as our information only refers to the company and not to the investment decision of the reader or user.

    The acquisition of financial instruments involves high risks, which can lead to the total loss of the invested capital. The information published by Apaton Finance GmbH and its authors is based on careful research. Nevertheless, no liability is assumed for financial losses or a content-related guarantee for the topicality, correctness, appropriateness and completeness of the content provided here. Please also note our Terms of use.

    Der Autor

    Nico Popp

    At home in Southern Germany, the passionate stock exchange expert has been accompanying the capital markets for about twenty years. With a soft spot for smaller companies, he is constantly on the lookout for exciting investment stories.

    About the author

    Related comments:

    Commented by Armin Schulz on September 27th, 2022 | 11:01 CEST

    Kodiak Copper, Nordex, BYD - Copper price indicates recovery of the economy!

    • Mining
    • Copper
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    Copper is considered a leading indicator of the economy. The red metal is built into almost all electrical products and is needed in many industries. If we compare the spot price of copper with the futures, we can see that the premium per metric ton has increased significantly. This is matched by the fact that China imported 8.1% more copper through August, despite the country's Zero-COVID strategy. In contrast, Chile, one of the largest copper producers, exported less than last year. So supply remains tight, partly due to demand from Europe, which is significantly expanding renewables. So today, we look at three companies around copper.


    Commented by Stefan Feulner on September 26th, 2022 | 10:28 CEST

    BYD, Globex Mining, Newmont, Freeport-McMoRan - Copper with doubling potential

    • Mining
    • Copper
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    The price of copper has lost around a third since March of the current stock market year. Investors are selling the metal, which is known as an economic barometer, due to global recession fears and concerns of a drop in demand. However, due to the great importance of copper with regard to the energy turnaround, the tide is likely to turn again soon. Mining companies and commodity traders are already warning of a massive shortage of the world's most important metal. Goldman Sachs expects the price of copper to reach USD 15,000 per ton by 2025, which would mean a doubling of the current level.


    Commented by André Will-Laudien on September 24th, 2022 | 21:30 CEST

    The green wave keeps rolling! Siemens Energy, Nel ASA, Alpha Copper, Plug Power - Copper now at 7,800!

    • Mining
    • Copper
    • GreenTech
    • Hydrogen

    Not enough copper is being mined! Despite this, the price has recently corrected by about 25%. It is mainly due to the worse economic expectations for the coming years. The orders are therefore falling, and the price is also falling slightly. However, the warehouses, due to many strong basic trends such as electromobility, will soon ensure that there will be a renewed shortage. These recurring economic trends, the increasingly difficult supply chain issue and the now high-interest rates are causing high planning uncertainty. Ultimately, they also weigh on mine output locally. We look at the opportunities and risks of the green wave!