Close menu




September 22nd, 2021 | 11:19 CEST

GSP Resource, Varta, Rio Tinto - The post-fossil age has begun

  • Copper
Photo credits: pixabay.com

The phase-out of fossil fuels is already underway. If we want to do something for the climate, this step is unavoidable. The phase-out is to be offset either by nuclear power or renewable energies. In Germany, we are saying goodbye to both nuclear power and fossil fuels. At the same time, the introduction of renewable energies means that more metals are now needed. Whether silver, rare earths, nickel, cobalt or copper - these metals are necessary for technological progress. Copper, in particular, is essential for electrification, and demand is rising steadily. That is due to the growing sales of electric cars, for which more copper is needed than for combustion engines. Today we look at three companies that have a lot to do with copper.

time to read: 4 minutes | Author: Armin Schulz
ISIN: GSP RESOURCE CORP. | CA36249G1090 , VARTA AG O.N. | DE000A0TGJ55 , RIO TINTO LTD | AU000000RIO1

Table of contents:


    GSP Resource - Awaiting upcoming drill results

    GSP Resource started this year's drilling program on its main "Alwin Mine" project on May 19 and announced its first results on September 13. A total of 5 diamond drill holes were drilled, and initial results are available from two of them. The first hole confirmed the previous occurrences and assayed up to 6.15% copper equivalent consisting of 4.42% copper, 3.5 g/t gold and 92.8 g/t silver. In addition, the results show that this is a deposit that can be mined by an open pit, thus reducing the costs.

    In this regard, the CEO emphasized that the results are comparable to those of Teck Corporation's Highland Valley Mine. The results of the second drill hole did not reveal any significant new deposits. The maximum grade of copper was 0.53%. The Company is now eagerly awaiting the results of the last three drill holes, which should be available by mid-October at the latest. Further potential is offered by not fully explored porphyry copper-molybdenum targets in the area.

    The completed private placement on August 24 raised a total of CAD 455,000 through the issuance of 1.3 million shares at CAD 0.35. The money will be used for the further development of the main project. Currently, the share price stands at only CAD 0.23, representing a discount of over 30%. Should the upcoming drill results roughly reach the values of the first drill hole, there will be significant upside potential. The share belongs on the watch list.

    Varta - E-car battery production in its DNA

    On August 13, Varta presented its quarterly figures and failed to realize the expected gains. The share has decreased by EUR 55 from the last high to EUR 110.30. Most recently, Apple caused the share price to slide because no new Air Pods were presented at the product presentation, for which Varta supplies the batteries. A double bottom could now be formed at EUR 110. A boost could come from the statement of Professor Duddenhöffer, who explained at Battery Day in Braunschweig that 80 million batteries will be needed for electric cars by 2030 and that 76 gigafactories would be necessary for this.

    Tesla currently owns three of these factories and is looking around for a suitable location for another factory. Rainer Hald, technical director at Varta, said he was confident that Varta would quickly provide large quantities of e-car batteries. The Company has a hot iron in the fire with the V4Drive cell for e-cars. Pilot production is expected to begin this year. This news alone has a great chance to move the stock price, in our opinion.

    Goldman Sachs seems convinced by Varta and has increased its stake to 5.37%, as the Company reported on September 20. Otherwise, analysts are divided at the moment. Warburg Research and Kepler Cheuvreux put the shares on SELL after the quarterly figures, which were weaker than expected. This argument was the reason for the downgrade at Warburg Research. On the other hand, DZ Bank recommends buying because it expects a significant upturn in business in the second quarter.

    Rio Tinto - Iron ore price weighs down

    Finding large and profitable copper mines is very difficult. Rio Tinto has found such a mine in Mongolia called "Oyu Toloi". There has been a long controversy over the development of the mine as it is a joint venture with the government of Mongolia as a partner. The project in the Gobi Desert offers enormous potential but also requires significant investments. It was only when the prime minister intervened that the problems were sorted out at the end of August. Starting in 2025, the project is expected to yield 550,000 tons of copper and 450,000 ounces of gold annually. The life of the mine is estimated at 100 years.

    Another problem is currently weighing much more heavily on the Company, namely the falling iron ore price. While the price was still at USD 222 in mid-July, it slumped to around USD 104. A turnaround does not seem to be in sight at the moment. One reason for this could be the restrained demand from China. The reason for this restrained demand is the largest real estate developer Evergrade in China, which is burdened with USD 300 billion in debt. A large part of the profit in the last quarters came from selling iron ore at record prices. Now the price is still below August 2020 levels.

    That also explains the rapid fall in Rio Tinto's share price. While the price per share was almost USD 90 at the beginning of August, it plummeted to USD 64.24 on September 20. The dividend was USD 3.76, which is a good 5.7% at the current price of USD 65.45. Whether the dividend will remain the same in the coming year remains to be seen. One should not reach for the falling knife, yet Rio Tinto is more broadly positioned than just looking at the price of iron ore. A closing price above USD 66.50 would send the first positive signals.


    Copper will be essential for all three companies in the long run. GSP Resource wants to become a copper producer if it is not acquired by a major competitor first. Varta needs a lot of copper to build its batteries for e-cars, and Rio Tinto is building one of the world's largest copper mines and will thus benefit from rising copper prices in the future.


    Conflict of interest

    Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as "Relevant Persons") may in the future hold shares or other financial instruments of the mentioned companies or will bet on rising or falling on rising or falling prices and therefore a conflict of interest may arise in the future. conflict of interest may arise in the future. The Relevant Persons reserve the shares or other financial instruments of the company at any time (hereinafter referred to as the company at any time (hereinafter referred to as a "Transaction"). "Transaction"). Transactions may under certain circumstances influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the of the Company.

    Furthermore, Apaton Finance GmbH reserves the right to enter into future relationships with the company or with third parties in relation to reports on the company. with regard to reports on the company, which are published within the scope of the Apaton Finance GmbH as well as in the social media, on partner sites or in e-mails, on partner sites or in e-mails. The above references to existing conflicts of interest apply apply to all types and forms of publication used by Apaton Finance GmbH uses for publications on companies.

    Risk notice

    Apaton Finance GmbH offers editors, agencies and companies the opportunity to publish commentaries, interviews, summaries, news and etc. on news.financial. These contents serve information for readers and does not constitute a call to action or recommendations, neither explicitly nor implicitly. implicitly, they are to be understood as an assurance of possible price be understood. The contents do not replace individual professional investment advice and do not constitute an offer to sell the share(s) offer to sell the share(s) or other financial instrument(s) in question, nor is it an nor an invitation to buy or sell such.

    The content is expressly not a financial analysis, but rather financial analysis, but rather journalistic or advertising texts. Readers or users who make investment decisions or carry out transactions on the basis decisions or transactions on the basis of the information provided here act completely at their own risk. There is no contractual relationship between between Apaton Finance GmbH and its readers or the users of its offers. users of its offers, as our information only refers to the company and not to the company, but not to the investment decision of the reader or user. or user.

    The acquisition of financial instruments entails high risks that can lead to the total loss of the capital invested. The information published by Apaton Finance GmbH and its authors are based on careful research on careful research, nevertheless no liability for financial losses financial losses or a content guarantee for topicality, correctness, adequacy and completeness of the contents offered here. contents offered here. Please also note our Terms of use.


    Der Autor

    Armin Schulz

    Born in Mönchengladbach, he studied business administration in the Netherlands. In the course of his studies he came into contact with the stock exchange for the first time. He has more than 25 years of experience in stock market business.

    About the author



    Related comments:

    Commented by Armin Schulz on May 17th, 2022 | 10:29 CEST

    Varta, Nevada Copper, E.ON - Shares for the electrification of tomorrow

    • Copper
    • Electromobility

    More and more people are gaining access to electricity. In order to make this possible, copper is needed because this industrial metal is the best conductor of electricity. Due to the upheaval in the energy industry towards renewable energies and the electrification of vehicles, demand is increasing. Supply cannot keep pace. Although 2021 copper production has increased by 2.2%, it is only 0.3% above the pre-Corona level. That explains the significant increase in copper prices, and we can expect a supply deficit in 2022 as well. We look at three companies for the electrification of tomorrow.

    Read

    Commented by Carsten Mainitz on May 4th, 2022 | 13:57 CEST

    Phoenix Copper, Glencore, Rheinmetall - High demand is intact

    • Copper
    • commodities

    In its latest report, the World Bureau of Metal Statistics (WBMS) provided an interesting insight into the general conditions of the metal markets at the beginning of the year. According to this report, there is still a global demand surplus for copper - just as there is for lead and nickel. In the first two months alone, the deficit already amounted to 83,000t of copper, up from 476,000t in 2021. In contrast, mine production rose by just 2.8% in January and February. However, coal and defense products are also currently in demand globally.

    Read

    Commented by Stefan Feulner on May 4th, 2022 | 10:22 CEST

    BYD, Nevada Copper, XPeng - New opportunities for copper shares

    • Copper
    • Electromobility

    After a brilliant year on the stock market in 2021 and reaching new 10-year highs, the copper price reached new highs again at the beginning of March, after the start of the Ukraine conflict. Since then, the base price has been correcting at a high level. However, due to the plan of politicians to practice an even faster switch to renewable energies, the demand for the elementary red metal is increasing significantly. Experts forecast a new supercycle for the next few years. Producers of the scarce commodity are the primary beneficiaries of this trend.

    Read