Close menu

August 30th, 2022 | 12:35 CEST

Do not miss the turnaround: BioNTech, MorphoSys, Tocvan Ventures, TUI - shares on the move!

  • Mining
  • Gold
  • Biotechnology
  • travel
Photo credits:

Making money on the stock market these days is not easy. Volatility is very high as the economy adjusts to entirely new conditions. Consumers have heavy loads to carry due to the energy crisis, and the still available household budgets are melting like ice in the sun in the face of inflation everywhere. Once again, fears are spreading that there might not be enough for a quiet retirement, and the savings rate is rising sharply. Those who remain active on the markets should proceed consistently according to analytical criteria because the dream of the eternal bull market is over for the time being. Here is a selection of good opportunities.

time to read: 4 minutes | Author: André Will-Laudien
ISIN: BIONTECH SE SPON. ADRS 1 | US09075V1026 , MORPHOSYS AG O.N. | DE0006632003 , TOCVAN VENTURES C | CA88900N1050 , TUI AG NA O.N. | DE000TUAG000

Table of contents:

    TUI - The summer is now in the books

    The travel summer of 2022 certainly has a special position compared to the last decades. The tourism market was almost able to regain pre-Corona sales from 2019, but many market observers consider this a situational boom. On the one hand, there is the loss of 2 travel years, which encouraged catching up, and on the other hand, a never-ending war, which can probably only be faded out under palm trees.

    Unfortunately, the tour operators did not cover themselves with glory with the expected rush. Due to a lack of staff, service delivery was inadequate for many travelers and even a nightmare for some. Last-minute cancellations and overbookings made the travel experience stressful. That is not an advertisement for a follow-up booking.

    Skepticism is therefore warranted when it comes to TUI's outlook, as sales volumes are not expected to collapse in the 2023 season, but the main problem for the tourism industry will be pricing. After all, purchase prices have exploded, and the question is whether a package tour can be made 25-40% more expensive so easily in the fragile economic environment. Operationally, therefore, there is a threat of renewed losses in 2023, even though TUI would like to return to operational profitability as early as the fall of 2022. Nevertheless, the debt remains high for the time being, and the repayment times are not yet given. With critical observation, TUI remains a pure casino stock for the time being. Observe!

    Tocvan Ventures - Good prospects in Mexico

    Investors at Tocvan Ventures are also patiently waiting for real progress. There has now been some in terms of exploration. With two significant gold projects in Sonora, Mexico, the budding resource company from Canada reported viable drill results from their first 1,382-meter program. Grades ranged from 0.4 to 12 grams per tonne, but the overall evaluation returned very mixed results. At least the formation indicates nearby mineralization on the Pilar property. The sifted results suggest a low sulfidation epithermal system occurring in andesite rocks.

    At the moment, it is possible to continue working calmly because the gold price is currently doing anything but what one would expect in an inflation environment. Under strong daily fluctuations, it is bobbing along in the lower area of its two-year trading zone between USD 1,650 and 2,050. The research experts at Goldman Sachs had recently identified a price target of USD 2,500.

    For Tocvan Ventures, this would be an opportunity because they are opportunistically focused on acquiring undervalued, historic properties. The more unattractive the precious metal price is, the cheaper the purchase price becomes. So now is the time to buy up and wait patiently. Tocvan has only about 36 million shares outstanding, so there is still plenty of room to manoeuvre. The good hand of the experienced management can be relied upon, and the Mexican jurisdiction could not offer a better environment. With further interesting acquisitions, the future resource could become very interesting for a major promoter. In our opinion, the Tocvan story is just beginning and will have much to offer gold and silver fans.

    MorphoSys versus BioNTech - Who can bounce back from the low?

    That was a short excursion to the top. The share of the Munich-based biotech company MorphoSys gained a full 40% between June and mid-August to over EUR 24, but now it is heading down again. Investors wonder when a "bottom" will finally be marked on the chart for this promising stock.

    Unfortunately, the last quarterly figures also quickly fizzled out, as analysts had expected higher figures for both sales and operating loss. On a positive note, demand for the blood cancer drug Monjuvi increased again after a difficult first quarter, as Group revenues climbed by more than 50% YOY to EUR 59 million in the past quarter. The operating loss shrank by almost a quarter to EUR 55 million, but increased research and development costs continued to weigh. Since the summer of 2021, the share price has tripled and is 88% away from its all-time high of EUR 148. On top of that, there was a sales revision: Net product sales with Monjuvi are now expected to be USD 90 to 110 million in 2022, after USD 110 to 135 million previously. The antibody specialist continues to make good progress in its research pipeline. Nevertheless, investors are beginning to wonder whether the costly Constellation acquisition will eventually bear fruit.

    Meanwhile, the industry partner BioNTech from Mainz is doing somewhat better. Although the share price has lost more than half its value over 12 months, it still trades between EUR 115 and EUR 175. At the Group's headquarters, the new Omicron vaccine, which has been submitted to the EMA for approval, is expected to generate good sales from the fall. Whether vaccination readiness is high or not should not be the Mainz-based company's problem because, "fortunately", the German Ministry of Health has already pre-ordered millions of doses. However, whether this will push BioNTech through the roof again in the fall is questionable because Moderna will receive a large share of the orders. According to recent surveys, however, the willingness to vaccinate is low.

    The markets are a cause for concern, as they have been under constant fire for several weeks. It affects all stocks across the board, and the trick now is proper timing and fundamental selection. Tocvan Ventures is no different and is buying opportunistically in Mexico.

    Conflict of interest

    Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as "Relevant Persons") currently hold or hold shares or other financial instruments of the aforementioned companies and speculate on their price developments. In this respect, they intend to sell or acquire shares or other financial instruments of the companies (hereinafter each referred to as a "Transaction"). Transactions may thereby influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the Company.
    In this respect, there is a concrete conflict of interest in the reporting on the companies.

    In addition, Apaton Finance GmbH is active in the context of the preparation and publication of the reporting in paid contractual relationships.
    For this reason, there is also a concrete conflict of interest.
    The above information on existing conflicts of interest applies to all types and forms of publication used by Apaton Finance GmbH for publications on companies.

    Risk notice

    Apaton Finance GmbH offers editors, agencies and companies the opportunity to publish commentaries, interviews, summaries, news and the like on These contents are exclusively for the information of the readers and do not represent any call to action or recommendations, neither explicitly nor implicitly they are to be understood as an assurance of possible price developments. The contents do not replace individual expert investment advice and do not constitute an offer to sell the discussed share(s) or other financial instruments, nor an invitation to buy or sell such.

    The content is expressly not a financial analysis, but a journalistic or advertising text. Readers or users who make investment decisions or carry out transactions on the basis of the information provided here do so entirely at their own risk. No contractual relationship is established between Apaton Finance GmbH and its readers or the users of its offers, as our information only refers to the company and not to the investment decision of the reader or user.

    The acquisition of financial instruments involves high risks, which can lead to the total loss of the invested capital. The information published by Apaton Finance GmbH and its authors is based on careful research. Nevertheless, no liability is assumed for financial losses or a content-related guarantee for the topicality, correctness, appropriateness and completeness of the content provided here. Please also note our Terms of use.

    Der Autor

    André Will-Laudien

    Born in Munich, he first studied economics and graduated in business administration at the Ludwig-Maximilians-University in 1995. As he was involved with the stock market at a very early stage, he now has more than 30 years of experience in the capital markets.

    About the author

    Related comments:

    Commented by Stefan Feulner on December 4th, 2023 | 07:40 CET

    BP, Saturn Oil + Gas, Occidental Petroleum - New opportunities from OPEC+

    • Mining
    • Oil
    • Energy

    With the decision by the oil cartel OPEC+ to further reduce production in the first quarter of next year, oil prices continued their correction that has been ongoing for weeks. Russia and OPEC+ announced their planned cuts at a total of 2.2 million barrels per day. The current decline in the oil sector offers investors an opportunity to participate in the expected long-term upward trend at more favorable prices.


    Commented by André Will-Laudien on December 4th, 2023 | 07:30 CET

    COP28 Climate Summit in Dubai boosts uranium shares! Cameco, GoviEx Uranium, Siemens Energy and E.ON in focus

    • Mining
    • Uranium
    • nuclear
    • renewableenergies

    With a raised finger, Chancellor Scholz calls for a global shift away from fossil fuels in Dubai. Climate change remains "the great global challenge of our time". He is thus appealing to the almost 200 countries, which are holding energetic consultations until mid-December, to join in the energy transition formulated in Germany. Specifically, he proposed an agreement on two binding targets that are already consensus among the industrialized countries of the G20: One is to triple the expansion of renewable energy, and the other is to double energy efficiency - both by the year 2030. So far, more than 110 countries have agreed to expand green energy production at this rate. However, there is also the opposing party: around 20 countries want to almost triple their investment in nuclear energy. Where are the winners hiding?


    Commented by Fabian Lorenz on November 30th, 2023 | 07:10 CET

    Biotech Alert! Morphosys, Bayer, BioNTech and Defence Therapeutics

    • Biotechnology
    • Pharma

    Morphosys is not for the faint-hearted. After unclear study results, the stock gave up its annual gains within a few days. Analysts are also divided on what the future holds. On December 10, the study details will be released, hopefully shedding light on the situation. Bayer shareholders are currently seeing dark clouds. The stock plummeted from EUR 40 to EUR 30 in a short time. Is the dividend now at risk, or is the entire company in jeopardy? There is a slew of positive news for Defence Therapeutics. Can the stock break out of its sideways trend? A potential partner for the Canadians could be BioNTech. The German biotech favourite is working with full coffers on cancer vaccines. However, analysts remain cautious.