September 18th, 2020 | 09:00 CEST
BHP Group, Newcrest Mining, SolGold: Getting bogged down or putting all your eggs in one basket
Table of contents:
"[...] I wouldn't be surprised if the project ends up showing more than 5 million ounces. [...]" Gary Cope, President and CEO, Barsele Minerals
Is the BHP Group buying into price fantasies?
Nevertheless, there are also positive things to report about BHP. The company already successfully implemented cost-cutting measures during the past fiscal year and thus became even more profitable. It can also be assumed that the recent positive development of many raw material prices will not be felt until the current fiscal year. Even though BHP itself has a cautiously positive outlook for the future and expects economic activity to vary greatly from region to region, investors see no potential for surprises in the share price. It is possible that, as in the past, acquisitions will help BHP to get off to a good start.
Newcrest profits from the gold bull market only to a limited extent
When it comes to mergers and acquisitions, the name Newcrest Mining is always mentioned in the resource industry. The company is Australia's largest gold producer and increased its profits to USD 647 million in the past fiscal year. In recent months, it has been repeatedly rumoured that the company is on the radar of North American resource companies as a potential takeover target. Around 85% of Newcrest Mining’s production is gold, with copper being another important raw material. Although the dividend at Newcrest is traditionally lower than at BHP, the Australian company recently increased its dividend by 14%.
Despite this positive signal to the market, the share price remains at a low level - on a twelve-month horizon, the share price even lost 4.6%. Tragic detail: Newcrest has sold forward parts of the production of its Telfer mine in Australia until 2022/23 and is not benefiting from rising gold prices there.
SolGold: Net asset value of flagship project significantly exceeds market value
In contrast, the SolGold share has profited from the development since March. The share has a price yield of more than twenty percent on a one-year horizon. In this context, it is interesting to note that both BHP Group and Newcrest Mining are involved in SolGold. The former company holds 13.5% and the latter 9.9%. The company is focused on the exploration for gold and copper in the Ecuadorian Andean Belt. SolGold has been active in this region since 2012 and has secured numerous mining concessions in recent years. The idea behind SolGold's strategy is that the geological characteristics are similar to those in Chile, where many international resource companies are already active.
SolGold pursues a very concentrated strategy in Ecuador: While other companies focus on different locations, SolGold prefers to use the known characteristics of a region to its advantage and to develop projects quickly. In addition to the flagship Alpala project, for which a feasibility study is scheduled to be completed by mid 2021, the company has 13 other projects that are being explored with high priority. As Nick Mather, CEO of SolGold recently stated in an interview, the net present value of Alpala already amounts to USD 4.4 billion and clearly exceeds the market capitalization of SolGold - the company is currently valued at market cap at around EUR 600 million. Initial studies on the flagship project, which were prepared before the gold boom, envisage a possible mine life of more than fifty years and a payback period of four years.
Investors have the choice: stability or growth
Although SolGold is an exploration company and therefore speculative, the extensive portfolio in Ecuador offers promising opportunities for investors. The company regularly reports drilling results and keeps investors informed about new developments. The existing holdings of large companies in the industry, such as Newcrest or the BHP Group, also speak for themselves. Although the shares of the established companies offer stability and indirectly also a participation in the success of SolGold, speculative investors may well be interested in the emerging company.
Conflict of interest
Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as "Relevant Persons") may in the future hold shares or other financial instruments of the mentioned companies or will bet on rising or falling on rising or falling prices and therefore a conflict of interest may arise in the future. conflict of interest may arise in the future. The Relevant Persons reserve the shares or other financial instruments of the company at any time (hereinafter referred to as the company at any time (hereinafter referred to as a "Transaction"). "Transaction"). Transactions may under certain circumstances influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the of the Company.
Furthermore, Apaton Finance GmbH reserves the right to enter into future relationships with the company or with third parties in relation to reports on the company. with regard to reports on the company, which are published within the scope of the Apaton Finance GmbH as well as in the social media, on partner sites or in e-mails, on partner sites or in e-mails. The above references to existing conflicts of interest apply apply to all types and forms of publication used by Apaton Finance GmbH uses for publications on companies.
Apaton Finance GmbH offers editors, agencies and companies the opportunity to publish commentaries, interviews, summaries, news and etc. on news.financial. These contents serve information for readers and does not constitute a call to action or recommendations, neither explicitly nor implicitly. implicitly, they are to be understood as an assurance of possible price be understood. The contents do not replace individual professional investment advice and do not constitute an offer to sell the share(s) offer to sell the share(s) or other financial instrument(s) in question, nor is it an nor an invitation to buy or sell such.
The content is expressly not a financial analysis, but rather financial analysis, but rather journalistic or advertising texts. Readers or users who make investment decisions or carry out transactions on the basis decisions or transactions on the basis of the information provided here act completely at their own risk. There is no contractual relationship between between Apaton Finance GmbH and its readers or the users of its offers. users of its offers, as our information only refers to the company and not to the company, but not to the investment decision of the reader or user. or user.