Close menu

December 28th, 2021 | 07:05 CET

Barrick Gold, Rock Tech Lithium, Alerio Gold: 2022 - Precious metals instead of lithium?

  • Gold
Photo credits:

Lithium was one of the high flyers among commodities in 2021. Will 2022 see a comeback in precious metals and mining stocks in particular? Many investors ask themselves this at the end of a horror year for gold and silver. The industry has not benefited from the significant rise in inflation this year. While the gold price has "only" lost around 6% in 2021, the impacts on mining stocks have been more severe. The GDX has lost about 20%, and the GDXJ almost 30%. At the same time, with a current gold price of around USD 1,800, good money can be earned, and the exploration of new projects also makes sense. Shares like cash machine Barrick and newcomer Alerio are worth a look. But lithium will also remain in demand. Tesla neighbor Rock Tech could benefit from this.

time to read: 3 minutes | Author: Fabian Lorenz
ISIN: BARRICK GOLD CORP. | CA0679011084 , ROCK TECH LITHIUM | CA77273P2017 , Alerio Gold Corp. | CA01450V1040

Table of contents:

    Alerio Gold: Will the share break out in 2022?

    A series of important announcements are expected at Alerio Gold in the coming year. The Canadian gold explorer is active in Guyana in South America, where the Company owns two projects. The management team has over 12 years of mining experience in South America and has set big targets for 2022. The share is currently quoted at CAD 0.25, almost unchanged compared to the beginning of the year. However, the Tassawini project is quite advanced. On the 1,381 hectare site, CAD 34 million has already been invested in project development, and 1,279 drill holes with a total length of 47,509m have been drilled. Infrastructure, including a camp and access by air and water, is also in place.

    Even first gold deposits amounting to 437,000 ounces have been indicated; inferred, another 33,000 ounces will be added. An increase in resources is expected in the coming year due to the ongoing exploration program. An environmental impact statement is also likely to be issued, and a preliminary economic analysis (PEA study) is planned to be released. Harpy is the name of Alerio Gold's second project. It is located in the region called Guyana Shield and is expected to contain over 110 million ounces of gold. Gold is already being mined successfully in the region. In the immediate vicinity is Guyana Goldfields, which produced over 124,000 ounces of gold in 2019.

    So in 2022, investors can expect a flurry of newsflow at Alerio Gold. Should this be reasonably positive, higher prices are on the cards. After all, Alerio Gold's market capitalization is currently around CAD 17.5 million. As mentioned, CAD 34 million has already been invested, and if only the resources described so far are mined, then assuming a cost of USD 1,000 per ounce and the current sales price of USD 1,800, more than USD 340 million would be earned.

    Barrick Gold becomes a cash machine

    Investors had little joy with Barrick Gold's stock in 2021, with the industry heavyweight losing over 10% in value. Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RBI) sees a price opportunity of around 20%. They advise a price target of CAD 28.80 to buy the Barrick share. With a profit of USD 419 million or USD 0.24 per share adjusted for special effects, Barrick slightly exceeded market expectations of USD 0.23 per share on average in the third quarter. Free cash flow had even turned positive from minus USD 19 million to USD 481 million.

    In the first nine months of the year, free cash flow totaled USD 1.2 billion. Accordingly, the dividend could be paid entirely from free cash flow. With higher production volumes, Barrick Gold had further reduced costs. All-inclusive costs averaged USD 1,034 per ounce in the third quarter. Debt, once a big issue at Barrick Gold, is now negligible. Barrick currently operates seven highly efficient Tier 1 gold mines with a production capacity of more than 500,000 ounces per year and low costs. The remaining mine life is over 10 years.

    Rock Tech Lithium: In Tesla's neighborhood

    Rock Tech Lithium was one of the big surprises in 2021. The Company wants to build Europe's first production plant for lithium hydroxide in Guben, Brandenburg. To do so, it is in the immediate vicinity of a potential major customer. Tesla's new gigafactory is just a few kilometers away. It is ready, and Elon Musk is impatiently waiting for the subsequent building permit from the authorities so that he can start production as soon as possible. At Rock Tech, it will still be a few years before production begins.

    The first converter is scheduled to go into operation in 2024 and will then supply around half a million electric cars with lithium hydroxide. To achieve this, an initial investment of approximately EUR 470 million will have to be made in Guben. Once this battery factory is up and running, four more are to be built in Europe by 2029. Rock Tech could then supply around 30% of the European market. The analysts at Hamburg-based Montega Research recommend the share with a price target of CAD 9.50. It is currently quoted at CAD 6.80.

    Gold mining stocks have lost significantly more in the current year than the commodity itself. Companies like Barrick are earning very well at current levels, and explorers like Alerio are further along than prices would suggest. This means upside potential for 2022. Lithium should continue to electrify the stock market in the coming year, and companies like Rock Tech should remain in the focus of investors.

    Conflict of interest

    Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as "Relevant Persons") may in the future hold shares or other financial instruments of the mentioned companies or will bet on rising or falling on rising or falling prices and therefore a conflict of interest may arise in the future. conflict of interest may arise in the future. The Relevant Persons reserve the shares or other financial instruments of the company at any time (hereinafter referred to as the company at any time (hereinafter referred to as a "Transaction"). "Transaction"). Transactions may under certain circumstances influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the of the Company.

    Furthermore, Apaton Finance GmbH reserves the right to enter into future relationships with the company or with third parties in relation to reports on the company. with regard to reports on the company, which are published within the scope of the Apaton Finance GmbH as well as in the social media, on partner sites or in e-mails, on partner sites or in e-mails. The above references to existing conflicts of interest apply apply to all types and forms of publication used by Apaton Finance GmbH uses for publications on companies.

    Risk notice

    Apaton Finance GmbH offers editors, agencies and companies the opportunity to publish commentaries, interviews, summaries, news and etc. on These contents serve information for readers and does not constitute a call to action or recommendations, neither explicitly nor implicitly. implicitly, they are to be understood as an assurance of possible price be understood. The contents do not replace individual professional investment advice and do not constitute an offer to sell the share(s) offer to sell the share(s) or other financial instrument(s) in question, nor is it an nor an invitation to buy or sell such.

    The content is expressly not a financial analysis, but rather financial analysis, but rather journalistic or advertising texts. Readers or users who make investment decisions or carry out transactions on the basis decisions or transactions on the basis of the information provided here act completely at their own risk. There is no contractual relationship between between Apaton Finance GmbH and its readers or the users of its offers. users of its offers, as our information only refers to the company and not to the company, but not to the investment decision of the reader or user. or user.

    The acquisition of financial instruments entails high risks that can lead to the total loss of the capital invested. The information published by Apaton Finance GmbH and its authors are based on careful research on careful research, nevertheless no liability for financial losses financial losses or a content guarantee for topicality, correctness, adequacy and completeness of the contents offered here. contents offered here. Please also note our Terms of use.

    Der Autor

    Fabian Lorenz

    For more than twenty years, the Cologne native has been intensively involved with the stock market, both professionally and privately. He is particularly passionate about national and international small and micro caps.

    About the author

    Related comments:

    Commented by Fabian Lorenz on April 11th, 2024 | 07:00 CEST

    Out of defense, into gold!? Renk, Barrick Gold, Desert Gold

    • Mining
    • Gold
    • defense
    • armaments

    On Tuesday, German defense stocks were shaken briefly and sharply. In a flash crash, Renk, Rheinmetall and Hensoldt fell by more than 10%. This indicates that defense stocks have run hot. The future prospects for the companies are undeniably positive, but a consolidation is in order. Gold is an entirely different story. The price of the precious metal is at record levels, but the shares of gold producers are still a long way from their 2020 highs. This applies to the heavyweights like Barrick Gold and Endeavour Mining, but even more so to the explorers. One of the promising explorers is Desert Gold. The Company operates in an attractive region, is on the verge of becoming a Tier 1 mine producer, and is a takeover candidate. Barrick Gold is one of many companies that could make a move on Desert Gold.


    Commented by Stefan Feulner on April 9th, 2024 | 06:45 CEST

    Palantir, Globex Mining, Bayer - The trend is pointing upwards

    • Mining
    • Commodities
    • Gold
    • Silver
    • Pharma
    • Software

    After a successful first quarter of 2024, the DAX and Dow Jones took a well-deserved breather last week. In contrast, the precious metal markets for gold and silver continued their upward trend. Gold also reached new absolute highs of USD 2,354 per ounce. While gold producers such as Barrick Gold and Newmont remained in hibernation, they have been following the rising base price for several weeks now. There is currently also an opportunity for smaller commodity stocks to participate disproportionately in the upward trend.


    Commented by Stefan Feulner on April 8th, 2024 | 06:45 CEST

    Geopolitical uncertainties - Sibanye Stillwater, Saturn Oil + Gas and Barrick Gold benefit

    • Mining
    • Oil
    • Gold
    • Silver

    In addition to the stock markets, which reached new highs last week, the direction of precious metals and oil is also clearly pointing upward. While gold also reached a new all-time high, silver has significant catch-up potential compared to its big brother. In the case of black gold, the current uncertain geopolitical situation could cause oil prices to break through the USD 100 per barrel barrier once again.