27. May 2020 | 14:38 CET
B2Gold, Barrick, Desert Gold Ventures - Gold rush in West Africa
Interest rates in the G20 countries are historically low. Those who have cash in their bank accounts receive low interest rates at best or even have to pay a penalty. This situation will not change in the foreseeable future. On the contrary, the central banks' measures to stop the Corona Pandemic are expected to increase inflation and reduce purchasing power. Gold and shares of companies that participate in the value chain of the precious metal are a classic hedge for wealth and offer protection against slow devaluation.
time to read: 2 minutes by Mario Hose
"[...] We knew the world was rapidly electrifying and urbanising and needing significant amounts of copper to do so. [...]" Nick Mather, CEO, SolGold PLC
Fear of devaluation will increase
The current package of measures by central banks around the world is with around USD 9 trillion, is more than four times as large as the concerted activities during the financial crisis in 2008, which amounted to around USD 2 trillion. Following the financial crisis, the price of the troy ounce of gold rose from below USD 800.00 to over USD 1,900.00. It is therefore hardly surprising that Bank of America is predicting a potential gold price of USD 3,000.00 per troy ounce for 2021.
Producers start first
At the moment, various sectors are already in recovery mode and their stocks are rising, while the potential of gold company stocks is not yet in the public eye. Given that the gold price is expected to continue to rise and gold producers are already achieving high margins, it is only a matter of time before the run on gold stocks begins. Usually the shares of the well-known companies such as B2Gold, Barrick and Newmont rise first. However, the multiplication potential of these giants is limited due to their size.
Value driver is exploration
If you want to speculate that the investment will more than double or multiply, you should take a look at the exploration scene near major producers. West Africa is where the gold producers B2Gold and Barrick are located and in their neighbourhood are the exploration companies Desert Gold Ventures and Roscan Gold. The projects of these two explorers are mostly located in the west of Mali, the country with the fourth largest gold production on the continent. More than 2.1 million troy ounces of gold were produced in Mali in 2018.
Big, successful and unnoticed
While Roscan Gold's share price has risen from CAD 0.12 to more than CAD 0.45 since January 2020 and most recently had a market capitalization of more than CAD 75 million at CAD 0.38, Desert Gold Ventures' share price remains unchanged at CAD 0.145 and has a market capitalization of less than CAD 16 million. Desert Gold yesterday announced a drill program to expand on the discoveries made to date and possibly discover additional gold deposits.
Takeover candidate in case of success
Historically, the company has reported gold at 3.52 g/t Au and 6.28 g/t Au on its approximately 400 square kilometre properties. Desert Gold Ventures' project is reportedly the largest contiguous area in the region not yet in production. Therefore, it is expected that the awareness of Desert Gold will increase in the coming weeks and months.
Management is aiming for 1 to 6 million ounces of gold in the areas. Usually exploration companies with deposits of this size are taken over by experienced producers. As a guide for a takeover price, the price is around USD 100 per ounce in the ground. A perspective for Desert Gold shareholders that may be worthwhile.