August 12th, 2024 | 07:15 CEST
Daimler Truck, dynaCERT, Plug Power - Electric on the decline! Is this the hour of hydrogen?
In recent years, electromobility has been regarded as the undisputed driving force behind the global transport revolution. However, recent developments paint a different picture: stagnating sales figures and growing challenges in the supply of raw materials raise the question of whether the era of electric vehicles has reached its peak. As a result, the focus is shifting to another alternative drive system: hydrogen. With increased investment and technological advances in the hydrogen sector, the question arises as to whether the time has come for hydrogen as an energy source to experience its major breakthrough and win the race for sustainable mobility.
time to read: 4 minutes
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Author:
Armin Schulz
ISIN:
Daimler Truck Holding AG | DE000DTR0013 , DYNACERT INC. | CA26780A1084 , PLUG POWER INC. DL-_01 | US72919P2020
Table of contents:
"[...] We can convert buses and trucks to be completely climate neutral. In doing so, we take a modular and incremental approach. That means we can work with all current vehicle types and respond to new technology and innovation [...]" Dirk Graszt, CEO, Clean Logistics SE
Author
Armin Schulz
Born in Mönchengladbach, he studied business administration in the Netherlands. In the course of his studies he came into contact with the stock exchange for the first time. He has more than 25 years of experience in stock market business.
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Daimler Truck - Must reduce forecasts
It is a challenging time for transportation companies. By 2030, fleet operators in the EU will have to meet specific requirements to reduce CO2 emissions. The EU has introduced stricter CO2 standards for heavy-duty vehicles, requiring a reduction in emissions of 45% between 2030-2034 compared to 2019 levels. The question is how companies intend to implement this, as electric trucks are not yet designed for long distances. Daimler Truck has recognized these challenges and now also has hydrogen trucks in development, as the refuelling times are significantly shorter and thus meet the needs of the transportation industry.
In Daimler Truck's interim report for the second quarter, the key figures show a significant decline compared to the previous year. Group sales amounted to 112,195 units, a decrease of 15%, while revenue fell to EUR 13.3 billion, 4% below the previous year. EBIT fell by 22% to EUR 1,076 million, burdened by a value adjustment of EUR 120 million on investments in China. Adjusted EBIT fell by 18% to EUR 1.17 billion, and consolidated net profit amounted to EUR 789 million, a drop of 21% or EUR 0.93 per share. Accordingly, the management had to revise its annual forecasts for revenue and profit downwards.
For the full year 2024, Daimler Truck expects sales of 460,000 to 480,000 units and revenue of between EUR 53 and 55 billion. In addition, an adjusted return on sales in the industrial business of 8% to 9.5% is forecast. These adjustments reflect the challenges on the markets, where demand is more subdued due to the uncertainties. Despite the disappointing figures, there were 7 analysts who, without exception, rated the share as a "Buy". The price targets are between EUR 46 and EUR 56. The share last traded at EUR 33.44.
dynaCERT - Meeting with Ursula von der Leyen
If a transportation company wants to take decisive steps now to reduce its emissions, it can do so. The patented HydraGEN™ technology from dynaCERT offers an efficient solution to reduce the fuel consumption of diesel vehicles by up to 10% and, at the same time, significantly reduce harmful emissions such as CO2 and Nox through the use of hydrogen and oxygen. The system can be retrofitted. With low installation costs and a quick ROI of less than a year, the use of this innovative technology is particularly beneficial for companies that want to position themselves as environmentally conscious at an early stage.
On May 13, dynaCERT announced that it had appointed top German manager Bernd Krüper as President. In this position, he has been instrumental since the summer in leading the Company towards global growth and innovation, particularly in the field of environmentally friendly technologies and hydrogen technology. In the course of this, Mr. Krüper attended the summer party of the employers' associations in Hanover, and spoke on-site with the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, about the products and the associated opportunities of dynaCERT. Ms. von der Leyen expressed interest, and the event will likely expand dynaCERT's network.
The Company is still awaiting Verra's approval of its certification under the Verified Carbon Standard (VCS). This certification would not only open up a new revenue stream for dynaCERT through CO2 certificates, but would also be a selling point for the technology, as it would also confirm CO2 savings for customers. The investment in Cipher Neutron is also slowly bearing fruit. In the fourth quarter, the Company is to begin developing and building two 250 kW electrolysers for Simon Fraser University. The shares closed trading on Friday at CAD 0.21.
Plug Power - Disappoints again
An infrastructure is needed for the introduction of hydrogen technology. Plug Power aims to provide this by building a comprehensive ecosystem for green hydrogen that includes production, storage, delivery, and energy generation. Plug Power has installed over 69,000 fuel cells and more than 250 refuelling stations worldwide and plans to build a hydrogen highway in North America and Europe. Through innovative production facilities and strategic partnerships, Plug Power aims to drive the decarbonization of the economy and support industrial applications.
However, what sounds promising is much more challenging to implement in practice. The Company disappointed with its latest quarterly figures. Turnover in the second quarter amounted to USD 143.4 million, around 45% less than the previous year and well below the forecast of USD 186 million. As a result, the Company recorded a loss of USD 0.36 per share, which fell well short of the market expectation of USD 0.30 per share. Despite increased production capacity at the Georgia plant and strategic price increases, there has been no sustained improvement in margins. The net loss rose by USD 26 million compared to the same period last year, now reaching USD 262.3 million.
Despite the disappointing quarterly figures, Plug Power is trying to look to the future with optimism. CEO Andy Marsh emphasizes the progress made in increasing production capacities and strategic partnerships, including major projects such as the expansion of electrolyser production and the green ammonia project in Australia. The Company is also planning to install a further 100 MW of electrolysers by the end of the year. One ray of hope could be the possible adjustment of the US tax credits for hydrogen, which could provide significant relief for Plug Power. The very good news in the first quarter should have been reflected in the figures. Unfortunately, this did not happen, and the share marked a multi-year low of USD 1.93. The share is currently trading at USD 1.97.
Daimler Truck faces challenges with reduced forecasts and declining sales figures, but shows commitment to the development of hydrogen trucks. dynaCERT, on the other hand, is setting a positive course with its HydraGEN™ technology for emission reduction and is strengthening its team with an experienced manager for global growth. In contrast, Plug Power disappoints with a decline in sales of 45% and an increased net loss to USD 262.3 million. These developments illustrate the tension between progress and setbacks in hydrogen technology.
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