Close menu

February 3rd, 2022 | 10:56 CET

Barrick Gold, Standard Lithium, Alerio Gold: Commodity stocks after the crash

  • Gold
Photo credits:

Lithium and gold stocks have little in common at first glance. The lithium sector has undergone a severe correction in recent weeks. Albemarle, for example, has lost around 30% in value. In the case of the 2021 investor darling, Standard Lithium, it was almost 50%. What lasted only a few weeks in the case of lithium has dragged on for months in the case of gold shares. Again, industry heavyweights like Barrick Gold and young producers like Alerio Gold are trading well below their highs. And this brings us to the common thread. Both lithium and gold stocks appear ripe for a rebound. The lithium price is trading near all-time highs, and gold is trading back above USD 1,800. In addition, Barrick has released top numbers. Alerio Gold and Standard Lithium are also worth a closer look.

time to read: 3 minutes | Author: Fabian Lorenz
ISIN: BARRICK GOLD CORP. | CA0679011084 , STANDARD LITHIUM LTD | CA8536061010 , Alerio Gold Corp. | CA01450V1040

Table of contents:

    Barrick Gold with surprise

    Barrick Gold had a strong year-end spurt and could thus meet its annual forecast. Costs in the final quarter are expected to be below the third quarter's. So far, there is no sign of inflationary pressure - for example, in personnel costs - at Barrick. In addition, the North Mara and Bulyanhulu gold mines in Tanzania are doing surprisingly well. Both have cracked the production mark of 500,000 ounces in 2021 and thus belong to the gold giant's Tier 1 assets. At the same time, the two mines were among the group's problem children due to disputes with the Tanzanian government. The planned spin-off is thus probably off the table. In addition to the operational tailwind, the gold price is also playing a role at the moment. It has climbed back above the important USD 1,800 mark. The Barrick share would look better again from a chart perspective if it were to jump above USD 21.

    Alerio Gold: 14 million market cap and 34 million already invested

    Chart-wise, the share of Alerio Gold looks anything but good. It is currently quoted at around CAD 0.20. Investors can expect a lot from the young Canadian gold producer in the current year. The Canadians are active in Guyana in South America. There the Company owns two projects. The management team has over 12 years of mining experience in South America and has a lot planned. Alerio has already invested CAD 34 million in the 1,381-hectare Tassawini project. As part of the project development, 1,279 drill holes with a total length of 47,509m have been completed. Infrastructure, including a camp and air and water access, is also in place. And most importantly, initial gold deposits totaling 437,000 ounces have already been identified. Inferred, another 33,000 ounces will be added. Further positive newsflow is expected in the current year. Among other things, new resources are expected to be added due to the ongoing exploration program. In addition, an environmental impact statement is to be issued, and work is underway on a preliminary economic analysis (PEA study).

    At the same time, Tassawini is not Alerio Gold's only project. The Harpy project is also exciting. It is located in the region called Guyana Shield and is expected to contain over 110 million ounces of gold. Gold is already being mined successfully in the region. In the immediate vicinity is Guyana Goldfields, which produced over 124,000 ounces of gold in 2019.

    The CAD 34 million invested to date and the expected positive newsflow are offset by a market capitalization of CAD 14 million. If only the resources described so far were mined for USD 1,000 per ounce and sold at the current price of USD 1,800, this would flush over USD 340 million in profits into Alerio's coffers. Should the gold price continue to rise, then correspondingly more.

    Standard Lithium: After the crash, now the recovery?

    Standard Lithium was one of the absolute investor favorites in 2021. Driven by the advance of electromobility, the stock quadrupled to over CAD 14 in the past year. The correction that began in November 2021 accelerated into a solid crash in recent weeks. The Standard Lithium share was temporarily quoted below CAD 8.00. In the meantime, the share has recovered to over CAD 9.50. The chances that it will continue towards an all-time high are good. In the current year, Tesla, Volkswagen & Co. will further increase sales of electric vehicles and introduce new models. Demand for lithium is, therefore, likely to increase further. And Standard Lithium will continue to push forward with developing the South-West Arkansas project in the current year. At the end of 2011, the USD 100 million investment by Koch Investments Group - whose founders are among the wealthiest Americans - had caused a stir and filled Standard Lithium's coffers.

    Gold mining and lithium shares are trading well below their highs and seem ripe for a recovery. In the case of Standard Lithium, this is already underway. Barrick and Alerio are anything but expensive, and the shares should jump if the price continues to rise.

    Conflict of interest

    Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as "Relevant Persons") may hold shares or other financial instruments of the aforementioned companies in the future or may bet on rising or falling prices and thus a conflict of interest may arise in the future. The Relevant Persons reserve the right to buy or sell shares or other financial instruments of the Company at any time (hereinafter each a "Transaction"). Transactions may, under certain circumstances, influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the Company.

    In addition, Apaton Finance GmbH is active in the context of the preparation and publication of the reporting in paid contractual relationships.

    For this reason, there is a concrete conflict of interest.

    The above information on existing conflicts of interest applies to all types and forms of publication used by Apaton Finance GmbH for publications on companies.

    Risk notice

    Apaton Finance GmbH offers editors, agencies and companies the opportunity to publish commentaries, interviews, summaries, news and the like on These contents are exclusively for the information of the readers and do not represent any call to action or recommendations, neither explicitly nor implicitly they are to be understood as an assurance of possible price developments. The contents do not replace individual expert investment advice and do not constitute an offer to sell the discussed share(s) or other financial instruments, nor an invitation to buy or sell such.

    The content is expressly not a financial analysis, but a journalistic or advertising text. Readers or users who make investment decisions or carry out transactions on the basis of the information provided here do so entirely at their own risk. No contractual relationship is established between Apaton Finance GmbH and its readers or the users of its offers, as our information only refers to the company and not to the investment decision of the reader or user.

    The acquisition of financial instruments involves high risks, which can lead to the total loss of the invested capital. The information published by Apaton Finance GmbH and its authors is based on careful research. Nevertheless, no liability is assumed for financial losses or a content-related guarantee for the topicality, correctness, appropriateness and completeness of the content provided here. Please also note our Terms of use.

    Der Autor

    Fabian Lorenz

    For more than twenty years, the Cologne native has been intensively involved with the stock market, both professionally and privately. He is particularly passionate about national and international small and micro caps.

    About the author

    Related comments:

    Commented by Nico Popp on January 26th, 2023 | 20:07 CET

    Gold and war - rethink now! Barrick Gold, Globex Mining, Rheinmetall

    • Mining
    • Gold
    • Commodities
    • armaments
    • Growth

    Gold is shining again. The weaker dollar and the existing geopolitical risks are boosting the precious metal. But how should investors invest? What opportunities are there off the beaten track? And: Given the crises, does gold have to be in the portfolio? We highlight three hot stocks and provide insights and outlooks on the gold price and the overall geopolitical situation.


    Commented by Stefan Feulner on January 26th, 2023 | 20:00 CET

    Nordex, Manuka Resources, American Lithium - The profiteers of scarcity

    • Mining
    • Gold
    • Lithium
    • Commodities

    Besides the raging war in Ukraine, the discussion about the energy industry of the future accompanies us daily. It has already been decided that renewable energies such as wind power and photovoltaics will be the way forward. Likewise, the move away from the internal combustion engine to battery-powered electric motors is in the bag. But the implementation problems will be with us over the next few years. Where will producers get the raw materials that are already in short supply? Another critical issue is energy storage. Here, too, there is an increasing demand for a raw material that is currently produced primarily in Russia and China.


    Commented by André Will-Laudien on January 25th, 2023 | 14:07 CET

    Last generation upswing 2023? TUI, Lufthansa, Alerio Gold, Aurelius - opportunities upon opportunities!

    • Mining
    • Gold
    • Travel

    The year 2023 has shown its friendly side in the first weeks. Despite highs in the indices, however, there is light and shade. For example, the Association for Consumer Research (ACR) recently found in a survey that consumers in Germany are entering the new year with significantly more confidence in economic development. This means that the ACR consumer climate index has risen for the fourth time in succession. The propensity to buy things nevertheless remains at a very low level. The new purchases indicator thus fell by 2.4 points to minus 18.7 points. Uncertainty in the face of crises and inflation remains very pronounced, with many households expecting significantly higher heating bills in the coming months. Many are putting money aside for this, which is now not being used for other expenses. However, shares are being bought, and we give a few examples.