Close menu




April 27th, 2022 | 12:26 CEST

Barrick Gold, Desert Gold, K+S - Inflation: Is fertilizer the new silver and gold?

  • Gold
  • Silver
  • fertilizer
Photo credits: pixabay.com

Inflation and rising interest rates are an argument in favor of precious metals - that is the opinion of many investors who suspect a loss of monetary value and want to protect themselves against it. But the stock exchanges had other topics on their radar in the last few days. Because due to strongly correcting share prices, there was primarily an urge for liquidity, in part to satisfy margin requirements of the bank. Such times also lead to the realization of price gains in gold and silver. So regardless of the environment, precious metals fall at times. For the long-term investor, this is a clear buying opportunity. We look at which stocks are promising here.

time to read: 4 minutes | Author: André Will-Laudien
ISIN: BARRICK GOLD CORP. | CA0679011084 , DESERT GOLD VENTURES | CA25039N4084 , K+S AG NA O.N. | DE000KSAG888

Table of contents:


    Bradley Rourke, President, CEO and Director, Scottie Resources Corp.
    "[...] The transaction offers benefits to all parties: Shareholders now have three promising projects in their portfolio. [...]" Bradley Rourke, President, CEO and Director, Scottie Resources Corp.

    Full interview

     

    Barrick Gold - The gold giant takes a look at its books

    The just reported indications for the first quarter of 2022 give hope for the rest of the year. Barrick Gold reported preliminary sales of 1 million ounces of gold and 113 million pounds of copper in the first quarter of 2022. As predicted, these will be the lowest quarterly figures in 2022 because, traditionally, the subsequent quarters are much stronger.

    With the numbers now pre-reported, the Company is on track to meet its gold and copper guidance for the full year. According to the Company, the average realized market price for gold produced in the first quarter was USD 1,877 per ounce and USD 4.53 per pound for copper. These prices are well above the cost of production and currently flush a lot of free cash flow into the books.

    However, due to the high energy costs, the sustainable production costs (AISC) per ounce have also increased by about 20%. As expected, preliminary copper production is below fourth quarter 2021 levels, primarily at the Lumwana mine, mainly due to lower grades in the tailings. In the medium term, Barrick will return to significantly higher grade mining at the site. In addition to the potential for further exploration success, the Company is advancing its pipeline of major growth projects, including Donlin Gold, Pascua-Lama and Norte Abierto. The currently released numbers are clearly in line with expectations. The stock corrected 10% in April: Collect!

    Desert Gold Ventures - Barrick's deal with Tembo Gold creates fantasy

    Tembo Gold's recent deal with major Barrick Gold is refocusing investors' attention on prospective properties in Africa that could come into the sights of a major producer. Exploration company Desert Gold's flagship project is the 410 sq km SMSZ project in Mali, near the aforementioned Barrick Gold. Currently planned programs in 2022 include multiple drill passes totaling 20,000 meters.

    In April, CAD 1.4 million in financing was secured for this purpose. The new approximately 11.74 million shares were offered at CAD 0.12. Included is a warrant based on CAD 0.18, which, if exercised, will add a further CAD 2 million to the Company's coffers. The Mogoyafara South and Gourbassi West North zones are the focus of the execution, as these two gold-bearing systems suggest the largest deposits in the concession area.

    The new Phase 2 program will focus on Gourbassi West North, which had returned 1.94 grams per tonne (g/t) gold over 30 meters and 2.75 g/t gold over 12 meters in the first step. This open 1.6 kilometer long zone has been tested to a depth of only 35 meters, is open at depth and is up to 90 meters wide. The present gold zone appears to be one of the larger systems on the property and has been tested to a limited extent. We expect good results here during the year.

    With approximately 161 million shares, the Company is currently valued at only CAD 16 million. In 2021, the share price rose above CAD 0.20 after good results, suggesting a potential of up to 100% at the current level. A strong gold price in the year could provide the trigger to the upside here.

    K+S - Far run

    Kali & Salz AG (K+S) developed into a shooting star in 2022. The reason was the food shortages caused by the Ukraine crisis, especially for agricultural products such as wheat. For some time now, the fertilizer producer has benefited from the distorted agricultural markets, which have caused potash prices to rise steadily. Additional price increases have recently resulted from the sanctions imposed by the West against Belarus and Russia.

    Although fuel prices had a counterproductive effect, higher revenues more than offset the expected increase in energy, logistics, and materials costs. Group CEO Burkhard Lohr raised his forecasts and expects operating profit (EBITDA) to rise to EUR 2.3 to 2.6 billion in 2022. However, this had already been expected by experts on average. Previously, the Executive Board had targeted EUR 1.6 to 1.9 billion, compared with slightly less than EUR 1 billion the year before.

    The K+S share price has climbed more than 200% in the last 12 months. Now the time has likely come for a profit to be realized. In just 6 trading days, the share price lost 15% to currently just under EUR 30. With a market capitalization of EUR 6 billion, the expected sales for 2022 are entirely paid for, but for the following years, the experts no longer have such confidence in the fertilizer producer. Sales are expected to fall below the EUR 4 billion mark as early as 2024. The Company intends to present more precise forecasts with its quarterly figures on May 11. Despite a current exceptional year, the nervousness of investors is likely to remain high because the continuous gas supply of the German sites is not yet secured. Set a safety stop at EUR 28.50; the value has run superbly.


    In times of uncertainty, many stock price movements are difficult to interpret. In commodities, shortages are traded that have not been seen for years. From this perspective, Barrick and K+S remain very interesting. Desert Gold is well suited for admixture because of its excellent property and is additionally exposed as a takeover deal.


    Conflict of interest

    Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as "Relevant Persons") may hold shares or other financial instruments of the aforementioned companies in the future or may bet on rising or falling prices and thus a conflict of interest may arise in the future. The Relevant Persons reserve the right to buy or sell shares or other financial instruments of the Company at any time (hereinafter each a "Transaction"). Transactions may, under certain circumstances, influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the Company.

    In addition, Apaton Finance GmbH is active in the context of the preparation and publication of the reporting in paid contractual relationships.

    For this reason, there is a concrete conflict of interest.

    The above information on existing conflicts of interest applies to all types and forms of publication used by Apaton Finance GmbH for publications on companies.

    Risk notice

    Apaton Finance GmbH offers editors, agencies and companies the opportunity to publish commentaries, interviews, summaries, news and the like on news.financial. These contents are exclusively for the information of the readers and do not represent any call to action or recommendations, neither explicitly nor implicitly they are to be understood as an assurance of possible price developments. The contents do not replace individual expert investment advice and do not constitute an offer to sell the discussed share(s) or other financial instruments, nor an invitation to buy or sell such.

    The content is expressly not a financial analysis, but a journalistic or advertising text. Readers or users who make investment decisions or carry out transactions on the basis of the information provided here do so entirely at their own risk. No contractual relationship is established between Apaton Finance GmbH and its readers or the users of its offers, as our information only refers to the company and not to the investment decision of the reader or user.

    The acquisition of financial instruments involves high risks, which can lead to the total loss of the invested capital. The information published by Apaton Finance GmbH and its authors is based on careful research. Nevertheless, no liability is assumed for financial losses or a content-related guarantee for the topicality, correctness, appropriateness and completeness of the content provided here. Please also note our Terms of use.


    Der Autor

    André Will-Laudien

    Born in Munich, he first studied economics and graduated in business administration at the Ludwig-Maximilians-University in 1995. As he was involved with the stock market at a very early stage, he now has more than 30 years of experience in the capital markets.

    About the author



    Related comments:

    Commented by Armin Schulz on December 5th, 2023 | 07:00 CET

    Blackrock Silver, BYD, Infineon - Silver: The new gold of the technology sector?

    • Mining
    • Silver
    • Electromobility
    • chips

    There is currently an attractive opportunity for investment in silver as it plays a key role in the growing e-mobility sector and chip manufacturing. The increasing production of electric vehicles is driving the demand for silver. Simultaneously, silver is becoming increasingly important due to its use in highly conductive pastes for the progressively sophisticated chip manufacturing industry. These developments could lead to a sustained increase in demand and make silver a potentially lucrative investment. Precious metal prices have already risen sharply.

    Read

    Commented by Stefan Feulner on December 5th, 2023 | 06:50 CET

    Manuka Resources, Spotify, MicroStrategy - Endless buy signals

    • Mining
    • Gold
    • Silver
    • Bitcoin

    Despite the challenging conditions, there is already a festive mood on the world's stock markets three weeks before Christmas. Germany's leading index, the DAX, is only marginally below its all-time high of 16,532.50 points, the precious metal gold has already reached a new record high and Bitcoin has broken through the USD 40,000 mark after more than 18 months. The fact that an increasing number of individual stocks were also able to generate buy signals ensured a further price rally.

    Read

    Commented by Fabian Lorenz on November 29th, 2023 | 10:00 CET

    Sell Varta shares? Positive news from JinkoSolar and Manuka Resources

    • Mining
    • Gold
    • renewableenergies
    • Solar
    • Batteries

    Is the Varta share price party over again? The shares of the former German battery darling have gained around 30% in value over the past six months. But now analysts are advising to sell. JinkoSolar's management had hoped for more buying when it announced the dividend at the end of September. While this was not the case, shareholders can at least look forward to a payout next week. Manuka Resources is currently managing the balancing act between positive cash flows from the sale of gold and investments in resource expansion. The Company is sitting on another potential "treasure" with a project for battery metals. Is the share undervalued?

    Read