March 14th, 2023 | 11:33 CET
Bank failure and new heaters! Nordex, Defense Metals, JinkoSolar - Greentech shares in the focus of investors
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Born in Munich, he first studied economics and graduated in business administration at the Ludwig-Maximilians-University in 1995. As he was involved with the stock market at a very early stage, he now has more than 30 years of experience in the capital markets.
Nordex - Sales are in line, but order intake declining
Fossil energy supply is becoming more and more costly. A wide variety of Greentech solutions for power generation are therefore more in demand than ever, with wind and solar systems, in particular, remaining the focus of investment in the climate protection sector. The Hamburg-based company Nordex specializes in large wind turbines and energy parks. After three profit warnings in 2022, the share price crashed to below EUR 7. Currently, the value is experiencing a revival.
The wind turbine manufacturer has now presented its preliminary figures for 2022. Sales increased slightly, but order intake declined. Nordex generated revenues of EUR 5.7 billion in 2022, up from EUR 5.4 billion in the previous year. Sales were thus at the upper end of the range of the previously reduced guidance. At the same time, however, an operating loss of EUR 244 million was recorded, and the EBITDA margin remained negative at minus 4.3%. Nordex was unable to defy the volatile macroeconomic environment, struggling with both supply chain issues and product quality problems. Capital expenditures were EUR 205 million last year, down from EUR 169 million in 2021, but order intake was a reduced 6.33 GW, down from 7.95 GW. The forecast for the current year 2023 will be presented on March 31, when Nordex will also present its audited figures. It should be exciting to see whether the Hamburg-based company can turn Corona-related setbacks into positive growth, as the Greentech sector is booming like never before.
Defense Metals - Rare earths from Wicheeda
All green or high-tech products contain some amount of rare earths. As the name suggests, they are rare and found mainly in China, where they can be mined profitably. However, because of their supply dependence on Beijing, Western industrialized countries are developing strategies to bring other suppliers to the market.
Defense Metals Corp. operates a rare earth deposit called Wicheeda near Prince George, British Columbia. The Company will prospectively supply materials from this deposit that typically have applications in the power market, military and national security. However, these rare metals are especially important in the production of green energy technologies because they enable high-strength alloys for reinforcing components. Examples of applications include magnets for generators, wind turbines and electric motors.
There is new data to prepare a feasibility study, as the Defense Metals technical team has now completed updating the 3-D geological model. More than 10,000 meters of additional drilling in 47 diamond drill holes completed in 2021 and 2022 following the completion of the preliminary economic assessment (PEA) is now available. A new resource estimate of the Wicheeda deposit is being prepared, which will significantly contribute to the planned prefeasibility study (PFS).
Geologist Kristopher Raffle states, "The updated geological model of the Wicheeda rare earth deposit, incorporating over 10,000 meters of new post-PEA drilling, represents a significant milestone for the project and the culmination of two years of targeted exploration." Defense Metals (DEFN) shares have risen from CAD 0.20 to CAD 0.39 in the last 3 months and are currently trading at CAD 0.29. With the good news, the stock should be back in focus soon.
JinkoSolar - Doubling sales is not enough
JinkoSolar Holdings Co. Ltd. is one of Europe's leading suppliers of solar panels and wafers. Thus, the Chinese photovoltaic manufacturer shipped more than 46 gigawatts of solar modules, solar cells and wafers in 2022. In total, this exceeded the 130-gigawatt mark for solar modules shipped, but net income was less than USD 100 million. Market estimates were significantly higher.
Analysts had already expected a 105% increase in sales to USD 12.1 billion; this growth is mainly attributable to the growth in solar modules. JinkoSolar put the gross profit achieved at just under USD 1.8 billion, or an 85% increase over 2021, but net profit fell sharply short of expectations, down 7.7% to USD 96.4 million. "We finished a challenging 2022 with satisfactory results as we showed strong operational and financial performance in the fourth quarter," said Xiande Li, CEO of JinkoSolar.
The year 2022 was not the year for manufacturers, as they had priced their products very early and were hit by sharp increases in input product prices toward the end of the year. Seasonal imbalances between the supply of polysilicon and the demand for photovoltaic products, combined with inventory adjustments, had a particular impact. Jinko shares corrected by more than 20% to EUR 43.18 last week and have so far only been able to recover weakly to around EUR 46. The Refinitiv Eikon analysis platform shows a low consensus P/E ratio of around 7.6 for 2023, which means the stock is cheaply valued again. Sales should increase by about 25% in 2023, and the margin should now also be more calculable after the experience from 2022.
Greentech cannot do without strategic metals. Leaving the field to China without a fight would be grossly negligent. After a feasibility study, Defense Metals could enter the market as a new producer, and JinkoSolar and Nordex would then be potential customers. All three stocks have their appeal in a risk-adjusted portfolio.
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