Close menu




January 20th, 2026 | 07:25 CET

Never change a winning team! This triumphant trio belongs in every portfolio: Almonty Industries, TKMS, and Rheinmetall

  • Mining
  • Tungsten
  • Commodities
  • Defense
  • hightech
Photo credits: pixabay.com

In the current year, the old favorites remain the new favorites: defense and commodities. Geopolitical tensions and rising defense budgets, as well as demand for critical commodities, are shaping the big picture. Reflecting these conditions, defense stocks and shares in raw materials producers should continue to rise. Almonty Industries stands out in particular. Rising tungsten prices provide significant leverage for Almonty Industries, currently the largest tungsten producer outside China. When will the next price surge come?

time to read: 4 minutes | Author: Carsten Mainitz
ISIN: ALMONTY INDUSTRIES INC. | CA0203987072 , TKMS AG & CO KGAA | DE000TKMS001 , RHEINMETALL AG | DE0007030009

Table of contents:


    Almonty Industries – Rising tungsten prices as significant leverage

    Tungsten is highly sought after due to its material properties, such as heat resistance and density, and is essential for defense, semiconductors, and the aerospace industry. As with many critical raw materials, the People's Republic dominates the market. More than 80% of the global supply comes from China, and export controls are exacerbating the situation. The price of tungsten responded last year with a sharp increase from USD 320 to USD 800.

    This overall situation plays into Almonty's hands. With the ramp-up of production at the Sangdong Mine in South Korea in mid-December 2025, the Company is delivering exactly what is urgently needed in the Western Hemisphere: large deposits from a secure jurisdiction.

    The world-class Sangdong deposit is of exceptional quality and promises a long life. The mine design was conceived in such a way that profitable operation is possible even in a low-price environment of USD 250 to USD 300. The current price level, however, is more than twice as high.

    The current year is marked by a strong increase in production. In addition to the expansion of capacity in Portugal, the ramp-up of activities in South Korea is of particular importance. Furthermore, according to the Company, production is expected to start in the US in the second half of the year. A few months ago, Almonty acquired an advanced tungsten project in the US state of Montana, establishing a presence in a key region.

    The Company has a large cash reserve and is therefore well equipped for all future eventualities. At the end of 2025, a capital increase brought around USD 130 million into the Company's coffers. The shareholder base was expanded to include long-term institutional investors from the United States. With its Nasdaq listing, Almonty now has greater visibility and broader investor access to the capital market.

    CEO Lewis Black has proven, as can be seen from the stock's brilliant performance, that he has created added value for shareholders. He himself is the second-largest shareholder with just under 9% and has continued to buy in recent months. Analysts remain bullish on the stock: Cantor Fitzgerald set a price target of USD 10, while Oppenheimer set the bar even higher at USD 12.

    TKMS – Billion-dollar deal from India

    The share price of the German manufacturer of submarines and naval vessels has risen by almost half since the beginning of the year. The shares are currently trading just below the EUR 100 mark, roughly at their all-time high. The spin-off from the thyssenkrupp Group, which remains the largest shareholder with 51%, went public last year and is currently valued at EUR 6.1 billion.

    At the beginning of January, the share price reacted positively to reports that the group was interested in acquiring the Kiel-based shipyard German Naval Yards Kiel (GNYK). GNYK specializes in the design and construction of large naval vessels and is part of the European shipbuilding group CMN Naval.

    Investors were recently excited by the news that the group plans to build six submarines worth EUR 8 billion in India. According to the Company, the agreement is to be signed soon. Germany and India recently announced their intention to cooperate more closely in the defense sector in the future.

    In the past fiscal year, TKMS generated revenue of EUR 2.2 billion and impressed with a free cash flow of EUR 784 million. In the current fiscal year, analysts expect revenue to rise to EUR 2.5 billion with a slightly expanded operating margin. The majority of analysts rate the stock as fully valued. In view of the new developments and an order backlog of EUR 26 billion, including the India deal, higher price targets are expected to be announced soon.

    Rheinmetall – All-time high approaching again

    Rheinmetall shares have also been performing well since the beginning of the year and are approaching their all-time high of EUR 2,007 again. Last year, the shares were among the top performers in the German benchmark index. The majority of analysts rate the stock as a buy and have set a price target of EUR 2,200.

    Geopolitical tensions and rising defense budgets are filling the defense contractor's order books. Rheinmetall forecast revenue in the range of EUR 12.2 to 12.7 billion for the past fiscal year. For the current fiscal year, analysts forecast an increase in revenue to EUR 16 billion and a profit of EUR 1.8 billion. In the medium term, for 2030, the group is aiming for revenue of EUR 50 billion with gradually increasing margins. The German company is currently valued at EUR 88 billion on the stock market.


    Shares in the defense and raw materials sectors should continue to be an integral part of a diversified portfolio this year. Rheinmetall and TKMS are benefiting from rising order intake. Almonty's growth prospects stand out as particularly positive. Rising tungsten prices are acting as an enormous lever for the largest producer of this critical raw material, whose activities carry geopolitical weight. Analysts are bullish on the stock.


    Conflict of interest

    Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as "Relevant Persons") currently hold or hold shares or other financial instruments of the aforementioned companies and speculate on their price developments. In this respect, they intend to sell or acquire shares or other financial instruments of the companies (hereinafter each referred to as a "Transaction"). Transactions may thereby influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the Company.
    In this respect, there is a concrete conflict of interest in the reporting on the companies.

    In addition, Apaton Finance GmbH is active in the context of the preparation and publication of the reporting in paid contractual relationships.
    For this reason, there is also a concrete conflict of interest.
    The above information on existing conflicts of interest applies to all types and forms of publication used by Apaton Finance GmbH for publications on companies.

    Risk notice

    Apaton Finance GmbH offers editors, agencies and companies the opportunity to publish commentaries, interviews, summaries, news and the like on news.financial. These contents are exclusively for the information of the readers and do not represent any call to action or recommendations, neither explicitly nor implicitly they are to be understood as an assurance of possible price developments. The contents do not replace individual expert investment advice and do not constitute an offer to sell the discussed share(s) or other financial instruments, nor an invitation to buy or sell such.

    The content is expressly not a financial analysis, but a journalistic or advertising text. Readers or users who make investment decisions or carry out transactions on the basis of the information provided here do so entirely at their own risk. No contractual relationship is established between Apaton Finance GmbH and its readers or the users of its offers, as our information only refers to the company and not to the investment decision of the reader or user.

    The acquisition of financial instruments involves high risks, which can lead to the total loss of the invested capital. The information published by Apaton Finance GmbH and its authors is based on careful research. Nevertheless, no liability is assumed for financial losses or a content-related guarantee for the topicality, correctness, appropriateness and completeness of the content provided here. Please also note our Terms of use.


    Der Autor

    Carsten Mainitz

    The native Rhineland-Palatinate has been a passionate market participant for more than 25 years. After studying business administration in Mannheim, he worked as a journalist, in equity sales and many years in equity research.

    About the author



    Related comments:

    Commented by Fabian Lorenz on February 11th, 2026 | 07:10 CET

    "Unprecedented surge in electricity demand": Siemens Energy, Nordex, and hidden gem Stallion Uranium stand to benefit!

    • Mining
    • Uranium
    • Energy
    • nuclear
    • renewableenergy

    Uranium demand is expected to skyrocket in the coming years. A doubling would come as no surprise. At the same time, uranium is expected to come from Western regions, presenting both a challenge and an opportunity for the industry. Stallion Uranium is still a hidden gem, but this is likely to change soon. While new nuclear power plants are being planned and old ones restarted in the US, AI data centers are relying on gas-fired power plants. Siemens Energy is currently profiting handsomely from this trend. The company is set to release its quarterly figures today. It is already known that Siemens Energy plans to invest USD 1 billion in the US. Is there a threat of overcapacity? The Nordex share is losing some steam, partly due to cautious analyst commentary. At the same time, the company is starting the new year with a whole series of orders.

    Read

    Commented by Carsten Mainitz on February 11th, 2026 | 07:05 CET

    Antimony Resources: This stock is impossible to ignore!

    • Mining
    • antimony
    • Defense
    • hightech
    • flameretardant
    • CriticalMetals

    The strategic reserve of critical raw materials and rare earths announced by the United States underscores the profound transformation underway in the commodities sector. Geopolitics is becoming a decisive factor in the valuation of raw material assets. States and governments, as a new and, in the future, the most important investor group, are prepared to pay high and strategically motivated prices to secure supply. Antimony Resources is set to benefit massively from this development. The Canadian company owns the largest antimony deposit in North America. Antimony is indispensable, particularly in military and security-critical applications.

    Read

    Commented by Fabian Lorenz on February 11th, 2026 | 07:00 CET

    Will these stocks now trigger a price surge? BYD, Hensoldt, NEO Battery Materials!

    • Batteries
    • BatteryMetals
    • Electromobility
    • Defense

    While RENK shares have gained more than 10% in recent days, Hensoldt is treading water. Yet the sensor specialist is shining with major orders. Most recently, partner KNDS ordered systems for the Boxer and Leopard 2 tanks worth hundreds of millions. NEO Battery Materials also appears ripe for a price rally. The technology company offers manufacturers of drones, robots, and electric vehicles exactly what they need: customizable high-performance batteries produced in the West. Production is underway, orders are in place, and the company is already working on the next generation of batteries with strong partners. And what about BYD? The stock is clearly in a downward trend. Yet the company wants to double its sales in Germany and is taking Donald Trump to court in the US.

    Read