January 19th, 2022 | 10:59 CET
NEL, dynaCERT, Volkswagen: Will the last be first?
Table of contents:
"[...] Why should a modular electrolyzer cost more than a motorcycle? [...]" Sebastian-Justus Schmidt, CEO and Founder, Enapter AG
NEL: Is the share still too expensive?
About a year ago, the NEL share reached its high point. Almost every speculative investor had the stock on their radar or even in their portfolio. What must inevitably follow when all investors have already bought became apparent from March 2021 with many hydrogen stocks - they plummeted. In the case of NEL, the market was primarily disturbed by low turnover. Since then, there has been hope again and again, but NEL currently remains 56% below the level of a year ago.
In a research article, researchanalyst.com took a detailed look at the market opportunities for NEL and, given the energy shortage, came to a clear conclusion: "It is questionable whether sufficient electricity can be made available on a permanent basis. Thus, a considerable part of mobility and transportation will have to be supplied by other energy sources. Here, hydrogen will play a central role," say the authors. Nevertheless, the conclusion for the share is somewhat mixed. Although NEL is likely to continue to outperform the sector in the future due to its market position, the valuation parameters could normalize as interest rates rise - or in short: the stock is still too expensive even at the current level. There is also little to be said from a chart perspective for the share.
dynaCERT: Do new brooms sweep better?
From a chart perspective, the dynaCERT share currently looks almost hopeless - yet investors have repeatedly pounced on it in recent months. The downward trend, which has been in place for about a year, has recently flattened out. However, the EUR 0.19 and EUR 0.26 marks continue to act as resistance at the moment. How can investors deal with this constellation? dynaCERT focuses on conversion kits for diesel vehicles and machines. Thanks to a device that pumps hydrogen into the cylinders, consumption and CO2 emissions can be reduced by up to 19%. At the same time, the Company offers telematics software that can also report these savings - especially for companies that want to become greener, documenting the savings is a must. In the past few months, dynaCERT has taken several steps towards a successful market entry, for example, through successful certifications.
Most recently, the Company parted ways with COO Robert Maier. What happens now? The market initially reacted positively to the personnel decision. In the meantime, however, dynaCERT has lost momentum on the stock market. Investors are probably waiting to see whether the operational progress of recent months will be followed by further steps in the right direction. The share remains speculative, but the value is always good for dynamic movements. If you have patience and a sense of market timing, you can add the stock to your watchlist. If dynaCERT achieves an operational breakthrough, the share would have great potential overnight.
Volkswagen: Business as usual
Volkswagen is far from groundbreaking developments, or rather, much is already priced in for such blue chips. The Company has made great strides in the electrification of its fleet in 2021. In Wolfsburg, people hardly think about hydrogen anymore - the Company positioned itself early on and emphasized the advantages of e-cars.
In the meantime, many electric cars from the Lower Saxons also line the roads. Volkswagen is thus living up to its name and at the same time building up a market position that will pay off in the long term. But there is little sign of this on the stock market - VW is also in a downward trend. Beyond EUR 205, however, there could be signs of a turnaround.
Whether electric cars or hydrogen solutions - at present, it looks as if both technologies have their justification. For investors, however, the selection of suitable stocks remains difficult. The greatest opportunities do not always lie in wait for technology leaders such as NEL. Even the shares of dynaCERT, which the market has punished, could come back to life as soon as something happens operationally.
Conflict of interest
Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as "Relevant Persons") may hold shares or other financial instruments of the aforementioned companies in the future or may bet on rising or falling prices and thus a conflict of interest may arise in the future. The Relevant Persons reserve the right to buy or sell shares or other financial instruments of the Company at any time (hereinafter each a "Transaction"). Transactions may, under certain circumstances, influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the Company.
In addition, Apaton Finance GmbH is active in the context of the preparation and publication of the reporting in paid contractual relationships.
For this reason, there is a concrete conflict of interest.
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