Close menu




December 22nd, 2021 | 11:01 CET

Kinross Gold, Almonty Industries, K+S - Is rising inflation the trigger for commodity stocks?

  • Commodities
Photo credits: pixabay.com

Two topics are currently occupying the markets: the impact of the new Corona Omicron variant on global supply chains and the further course of inflation. Experts disagree on both topics. While everyone assumes that the Omicron variant will lead to another global wave, most experts now see the supply chains as so stable that a fundamental disruption is now virtually impossible as was at the beginning of the pandemic. Concerning inflation, there are increasing voices that this should not be regarded as merely temporary. That should drive commodity stocks.

time to read: 3 minutes | Author: Carsten Mainitz
ISIN: KINROSS GOLD CORP. | CA4969024047 , ALMONTY INDUSTRIES INC. | CA0203981034 , K+S AG NA O.N. | DE000KSAG888

Table of contents:


    Dr. Thomas Gutschlag, CEO, Deutsche Rohstoff AG
    "[...] China's dominance is one of the reasons why we are so heavily involved in the tungsten market. Here, around 85% of production is in Chinese hands. [...]" Dr. Thomas Gutschlag, CEO, Deutsche Rohstoff AG

    Full interview

     

    Kinross Gold - Acquisition Great Bear Resources: curse or blessing?

    Kinross Gold has offered CAD 1.8 billion to acquire Great Bear Resources. Kinross is mainly interested in Great Bear's Dixie Project, located in the well-known Red Lake mining region in the Canadian province of Ontario. The drill results so far have been so good that Kinross expects to acquire a top-tier mine here and is letting this cost CAD 29 per Great Bear share certificate. A further payment of CAD 58.2 million has been agreed should the measured and indicated resource reach at least 8.5 million ounces when commercial production is announced.

    Shareholders are unsure whether the investment is not too expensive and sent the share price down by around 20% after the announcement. The rating agency Moody's also sees the transaction as a negative event for the creditworthiness of Kinross, as there is no final resource estimate for the project, and the financial scope of Kinross is limited by the transaction. In the meantime, the share price has recovered slightly but is still below the level before the announcement.

    Almonty Industries - Quietly becoming a major tungsten producer

    The energy and mobility revolution presents humanity with a Herculean task. New concepts and processes must be developed in the shortest possible time, requiring all kinds of materials that are now not so readily available due to the previously low demand. This problem exists both with rare earths, which have been mined almost exclusively in China and with important metals that do not lend themselves as investment objects like gold or silver but perform an important function for the mobility revolution. One of these metals is tungsten.

    Although it is found in many countries, tungsten is currently produced mainly in China. The metal with the chemical symbol W, which belongs to the transition metals, was often used for filaments in lamps due to its high melting and boiling point. In addition, it is used in its form as tungsten carbide to manufacture carbide tools. However, another possible application for the rare metal has emerged: its use in batteries and accumulators. Here, tungsten could be used as a substitute for the controversial material cobalt.

    Here is where Almonty comes in. The Canadians are currently building the world's largest tungsten mine in Sangdong, South Korea. Supported in part by a loan from Germany's KfW Bank, the project is expected to produce around 30% of the tungsten supply outside China from the end of 2022. Almonty's third-largest shareholder is Deutsche Rohstoff AG, which holds about 12.2% of the shares. The two largest shareholders are Austria's Plansee Group and Almonty CEO Lewis Black. Almonty's other properties are located in Spain (Los Santos, tungsten concentrate) and Portugal (Panasqueira, tungsten-tin). Currently valued at CAD 179 million, the Company should be one of the winners in the coming years. Details are available in a post at researchanalyst.com.

    K+S - Top Performer!

    2021 was an excellent year for shareholders of the Kassel-based fertilizer group. The share certificates ranked first in the ranks of MDAX stocks, ahead of Hugo Boss and Nemetschek. The K+S share price has doubled and thus outperformed the index, which gained a moderate 12%. The Kassel-based Company benefits from the boom in the agricultural commodity markets and has done some important homework. The sale of the American salt business in the spring and the associated debt relief and balance sheet strengthening were particularly significant.

    Next year, the share should also be one of the winners on the German stock exchange floor. Analysts forecast an increase in sales to EUR 3.7 billion. The 2022 P/E ratio is just 5, and the dividend yield is 2.4%. Even though experts on average consider the stock to be almost exhausted, the favorable conditions in the sector and the very low valuation argue for a continuation of the upward trend in the coming year.


    Commodities remain an anchor against high inflation. Investors are on the right side with commodity stocks in the long term. Here, established companies such as Kinross Gold and K+S are good candidates. The investment in Almonty is likely to be more exciting. The construction of the world's largest tungsten mine should soon boost the share price significantly.


    Conflict of interest

    Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as "Relevant Persons") may in the future hold shares or other financial instruments of the mentioned companies or will bet on rising or falling on rising or falling prices and therefore a conflict of interest may arise in the future. conflict of interest may arise in the future. The Relevant Persons reserve the shares or other financial instruments of the company at any time (hereinafter referred to as the company at any time (hereinafter referred to as a "Transaction"). "Transaction"). Transactions may under certain circumstances influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the of the Company.

    Furthermore, Apaton Finance GmbH reserves the right to enter into future relationships with the company or with third parties in relation to reports on the company. with regard to reports on the company, which are published within the scope of the Apaton Finance GmbH as well as in the social media, on partner sites or in e-mails, on partner sites or in e-mails. The above references to existing conflicts of interest apply apply to all types and forms of publication used by Apaton Finance GmbH uses for publications on companies.

    Risk notice

    Apaton Finance GmbH offers editors, agencies and companies the opportunity to publish commentaries, interviews, summaries, news and etc. on news.financial. These contents serve information for readers and does not constitute a call to action or recommendations, neither explicitly nor implicitly. implicitly, they are to be understood as an assurance of possible price be understood. The contents do not replace individual professional investment advice and do not constitute an offer to sell the share(s) offer to sell the share(s) or other financial instrument(s) in question, nor is it an nor an invitation to buy or sell such.

    The content is expressly not a financial analysis, but rather financial analysis, but rather journalistic or advertising texts. Readers or users who make investment decisions or carry out transactions on the basis decisions or transactions on the basis of the information provided here act completely at their own risk. There is no contractual relationship between between Apaton Finance GmbH and its readers or the users of its offers. users of its offers, as our information only refers to the company and not to the company, but not to the investment decision of the reader or user. or user.

    The acquisition of financial instruments entails high risks that can lead to the total loss of the capital invested. The information published by Apaton Finance GmbH and its authors are based on careful research on careful research, nevertheless no liability for financial losses financial losses or a content guarantee for topicality, correctness, adequacy and completeness of the contents offered here. contents offered here. Please also note our Terms of use.


    Der Autor

    Carsten Mainitz

    The native Rhineland-Palatinate has been a passionate market participant for more than 25 years. After studying business administration in Mannheim, he worked as a journalist, in equity sales and many years in equity research.

    About the author



    Related comments:

    Commented by Armin Schulz on November 26th, 2021 | 12:37 CET

    Barrick Gold, Sierra Grande Minerals, Yamana Gold - False breakout in gold?

    • Commodities

    On November 5, it seemed gold had finally broken out of its established triangle in the chart. However, since November 19, the bears have retaken the helm for the time being. Investors, who have otherwise relied on gold for inflation and other hedges, are still reacting hesitantly. One reason is the expansion of the money supply, which is displacing people's fear. Nearly all central banks see inflation as temporary. Another reason is the cryptocurrencies, which are also used as capital protection and thus represent competition. If interest rates rise, that would be a bad sign for gold. If inflation remains, global gold demand could increase, with demand from India and China already picking up. The newly formed uptrend in gold is only broken below USD 1,721.1 on a daily basis, so we currently expect gold prices to rise. We, therefore, analyze three gold companies.

    Read

    Commented by André Will-Laudien on November 17th, 2021 | 12:40 CET

    Leoni, Sierra Grande Minerals, Varta, Nordex - Critical raw materials, skyrocketing prices!

    • Commodities

    According to the active suggestions of many climate protectionists, we are all best off riding bicycles. Because the climate measures, in particular the CO2 taxes, will soon make movement with fossil fuels impossible. In October, the E10 fuel price reached the EUR 2.00 mark at some filling stations. As a result, 80% of the gasoline price target formulated by the Greens in the 1990s of 5 D-Marks has been achieved. Calculated on the oil price, a liter of refined fuel would only cost about EUR 0.60; the rest is made up of duties and taxes, as is well known. Interestingly, in the Federal Audit Office records, it is precisely the political climate protection protagonists who stand out with an impressive number of car trips and air miles. It seems that only some people are supposed to restrict themselves, while other more privileged groups enjoy a free ride. Is this the future of individual mobility?

    Read

    Commented by Nico Popp on November 1st, 2021 | 10:29 CET

    Shell, Sierra Grande Minerals, K+S: 4.1% inflation - here is how investors counteract it

    • Commodities

    Inflation in the eurozone climbed to a new record in October - at 4.1%, one can confidently speak of inflation. At the same time, the European Central Bank (ECB) continues to adopt a wait-and-see approach. Although the markets are pricing in an interest rate hike in the eurozone, analysts and the ECB believe these expectations are premature. Given the stuttering economic recovery, it might make sense from the central bank's point of view to delay the exit from the ultra-loose monetary policy a little longer - with all the risks.

    Read