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Dr. Thomas Gutschlag, CEO, Deutsche Rohstoff AG

Dr. Thomas Gutschlag
CEO | Deutsche Rohstoff AG
Q7, 24, 68161 Mannheim (D)

info@rohstoff.de

+49 621 490 817 0

Interview Deutsche Rohstoff AG: "We can imagine additional investments in the field of electromobility."


Steve Cope, President, CEO and Director, Silver Viper

Steve Cope
President, CEO and Director | Silver Viper
1055 W Hastings St Suite 1130, V6E 2E9 Vancouver (CAN)

info@silverviperminerals.com

+1-604-687-8566

Interview with Silver Viper: Future price drivers and takeover fantasy


Karim Nanji, CEO, Marble Financial

Karim Nanji
CEO | Marble Financial
1200-1166 Alberni Street, V6E 3Z3 Vancouver (CAN)

info@marblefinancial.ca

+1-604-336-0185

Interview with Marble Financial: Fintech innovator plans expansion into the US


16. March 2021 | 09:50 CET

Defense Metals, Geely Motors, ThyssenKrupp - Watch out, China is coming!

  • RareEarthElements
Photo credits: theverge.com

The commodity rally is still in full swing. A messed-up economic forecast has turned into a witch hunt for all major ingredients for high technology products. Whether it's cell phones, electric vehicles, non-fossil fuel power generation and storage, or modern server farms, they are needed everywhere - industrial metals. For special applications, we even need rare earths; these, in turn, are the process of a political chain of demands against the leading supplier - China. If China no longer supplies these crucial materials, modern high-tech products can no longer be manufactured. But where to get them, if not steal them?

time to read: 4 minutes by André Will-Laudien


 

Author

André Will-Laudien

Born in Munich, he first studied economics and graduated in business administration at the Ludwig-Maximilians-University in 1995. As he was involved with the stock market at a very early stage, he now has more than 30 years of experience in the capital markets.

About the author


Defense Metals - A vital resource emerges

Demand in the electric vehicle (EV) industry is causing supply shortages in key metals such as copper, nickel and lithium. For nickel, for example, demand growth from EVs is expected to increase 14-fold between 2019 and 2030. For lithium and copper, demand growth is expected to be 9-10 times. Many metals are extracted in specific regions, and it is not uncommon for there to be political instability due to the high economic dimension. Around 50% of the world's cobalt, another vital material, comes from the Democratic Republic of Congo.

The same applies to the so-called rare earths, a unique group of extremely rare metals. The deposits of rare earths are found mainly in China, with more than 80%, and to a lesser extent in North America. The current bone of contention, also under the Biden administration, is arms exports to Taiwan - a major thorn in the Chinese government's side.

Should the trade war escalate again, the electromagnetically important metals such as neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium and terbium could end up on the sanctions list against the US. Currently, the Western industrial nations agree that they have long been talking about strategic metals and that a supply-side dominated by China cannot be the egg of Columbus. So they are looking for new deposits that, if developed, could fill the successive gaps in supply.

Canadian explorer Defense Metals has come to investors' attention with its property in Wicheeda, British Columbia. The results of an X-ray study show that the REE grades can be optimally extracted using low-cost front-end processing. The share price jumped from CAD 0.20 in December to over CAD 0.70 in February 2021 as the Defense Project now enters a new phase. With a current share price of CAD 0.46, the market capitalization reaches only CAD 27 million, an interesting level given the tight situation in the metals sector.

Geely Automobile - Poor sales figures weigh on the share price

Chinese car Company Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd. has published its delivery figures for February 2021 and has disappointed once again. Growth is declining - one would currently expect something different from e-mobility. In February, a total of 77,221 vehicles were sold, an increase of 265% compared to the same period last year. However, compared with the previous month, when the Company sold 156,326 units, sales slumped by more than half. The sales figures also include vehicles sold through the 50/50 joint venture Lynk & Co.

Among the total number of cars delivered by Geely Automobile in February 2021 were 2,539 New Energy and Electrified Vehicles (NEEVs), a significant deterioration from the previous month's 4,289 units (December: 7,171 units). Without further ado, sales of alternative propulsion methods to the internal combustion engine are sputtering. One could invoke the Chinese New Year, but those who want to buy a new car will do so in a month of celebration (perhaps even more so then).

Of course, the Geely Group has much more to offer. In December 2020, Geely Technology Group agreed with Daimler's Chinese partner Farasis Energy to represent their shared lithium-ion battery interests in a joint venture. Since Geely, in turn, has a stake in Daimler, an amalgamation of the plans of all three groups is obvious. Geely Automobile's share price has been under pressure since January 2021. From the high of EUR 3.63, it recently went down to EUR 2.40, but that was just about the distance that the share was able to gain in December. Over the year, the value has still doubled.

ThyssenKrupp AG - Germany at risk as a steel location

The future of the German steel sector continues to raise many questions. North Rhine-Westphalia's Minister-President Armin Laschet has once again rejected a state takeover of ThyssenKrupp, leaving the Company itself to deal with the market's adversities. The much cheaper competition from China, in particular, is becoming increasingly dangerous. The industry has been struggling with dumped imports for years.

A few years ago, products from the Middle Kingdom were still considered backward. Neither quality nor sustainability could keep up with the European competition, which was why the Chinese campaigned for import restrictions. But the tide has now turned. Arnd Köfler, the Chief Technology Officer at ThyssenKrupp Steel, made it public that the new steel mills in China also met the highest technological standards. The country is massively expanding its renewable energy capacities, which means that more green electricity can be used for climate-friendly steel production in the future.

Like the entire European steel industry, ThyssenKrupp is therefore under technological pressure. Thinking a little further, hydrogen technology, for example, would push two issues at once. On the one hand, the automotive industry urgently needs an alternative to the unclean battery, and on the other, H2 could enable the production of a "green steel." Of course, this requires funds that are not easy to conjure up in Thyssen's battered balance sheet. So the pressure from China will tend to intensify.

Investors who are willing to take risks have bought Thyssen shares on the upside for the time being because hopes of an economic turnaround are also expected to turn everything around for the better at Thyssen. At EUR 11.65, however, the stock is not yet out of the woods. A chart breakout would only be seen at prices above EUR 13.20.


Author

André Will-Laudien

Born in Munich, he first studied economics and graduated in business administration at the Ludwig-Maximilians-University in 1995. As he was involved with the stock market at a very early stage, he now has more than 30 years of experience in the capital markets.

About the author



Conflict of interest & risk note

In accordance with §34b WpHG we would like to point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH may hold long or short positions in the aforementioned companies and that there may therefore be a conflict of interest. Apaton Finance GmbH may have a paid contractual relationship with the company, which is reported on in the context of the Apaton Finance GmbH Internet offer as well as in the social media, on partner sites or in e-mail messages. Further details can be found in our Conflict of Interest & Risk Disclosure.


Related comments:

10. March 2021 | 09:36 CET | by Stefan Feulner

NIO, Defense Metals, Baidu - it's five to twelve!

  • RareEarthElements

Whether solar plants, wind turbines or electric cars, the change from fossil fuels to a sustainable energy supply through renewable energy requires, above all, many metals. These are becoming increasingly scarce due to rising global demand. In addition, the trade war instigated by the Trump presidency will most likely not be settled in the short term, even by the new leader Joe Biden. On the contrary, at the moment, the fronts seem to be hardening. It is a battle for resources. The clock is ticking!

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