Menu

Recent Interviews

Ryan Jackson, CEO, Newlox Gold Ventures Corp.

Ryan Jackson
CEO | Newlox Gold Ventures Corp.
60 Laurie Crescent, V7S 1B7 West Vancouver (CAN)

info@newloxgold.com

+1 778 738 0546

Newlox CEO Ryan Jackson on building a green gold producer with a rapid growth trajectory


Nick Mather, CEO, SolGold PLC

Nick Mather
CEO | SolGold PLC
1 King Street, EC2V 8AU London (GB)

emichael@solgold.com.au

+44 20 3823 2125

SolGold CEO Nick Mather on building a major gold and copper mining company


Jared Scharf, CEO, Desert Gold Ventures Inc.

Jared Scharf
CEO | Desert Gold Ventures Inc.
4770 72nd St,, V4K 3N3 Delta (CAN)

jared.scharf@desertgold.ca

Desert Gold Ventures CEO Jared Scharf on West Africa and its potential


07. October 2020 | 12:24 CET

BP, Royal Dutch Shell, Saturn Oil & Gas: The rebound with an announcement!

  • Oil

When someone talks about the largest commodities market in the world, they mean the oil market. Every day, almost 100 million barrels of black gold are produced and delivered worldwide, even though Elon Musk adamantly claims "Oil is out!” - He would be particularly well advised to find out how many oil products are used in a Tesla. More than 300 components are made of oil derivatives. According to British Petroleum, undoubtedly one of the major players in the industry, the global oil demand peaked in 2019. In its annual energy outlook, the energy company predicts a global decline in oil demand but a strong gas demand until 2050. Renewable energies are the fastest-growing energy sources over the next 30 years.

time to read: 3 minutes by André Will-Laudien


 

Author

André Will-Laudien

Born in Munich, he first studied economics and graduated in business administration at the Ludwig-Maximilians-University in 1995. As he was involved with the stock market at a very early stage, he now has more than 30 years of experience in the capital markets.

About the author


British Petroleum plc (BP) - Who is correct with the forecast?

It is sometimes not decisive whether BP has miscalculated by 10 or 20 years. At its core is the opinion that large oil producers, in particular, must now look for alternatives to their outdated business model. For years now, they have been investing free cash flows in alternative energy production, primarily regenerative. BP, in particular, needed a greener coat of paint after the Deepwater Horizon disaster, and the latest company policy indicates that this mindset is being reinforced.

With a balance sheet total of just under EUR 300 billion, BP is one of the 10 largest oil and energy companies in the world. Its net profit in 2019 was EUR 16.7 billion and has fallen to around EUR 4.5 billion in the current year, which is an even quarter. Although the share price was able to stabilize after the March sell-off, it recently fell back to below EUR 2.50. The high in the last 3 years was 6.75 EUR - a 65% loss. However, the dividend yield is still just under 8% even after the two-time reduction. Goldman Sachs sees a 70% chance in the BP share for the next 2 years.

Royal Dutch Shell plc - Under the wheels!

Industry colleague, Royal Dutch Shell, has not fared much better. The British-Dutch oil company is one size bigger than BP. Shell has total assets of over EUR 360 billion and a result of EUR 25.5 billion in 2019. Here, too, earnings are expected to be averaged to around EUR 8 billion, and the dividend yield will drop to around 5%. The share price has fallen just as sharply as at BP, a full 65% to the 3-year high of EUR 29.70.

Shell plans to lay off a total of up to 9,000 employees as part of a major overhaul to shift the focus to low-carbon energy by 2022. This will affect a good 11% of the total workforce of 83,000. Shell expects the reorganization to bring annual cost savings of up to EUR 2.5 billion by 2022. The shareholders will be happy, but the employees will have to tremble for the time being as to whether these steps will mean the end of the banner. There have been a lot of buy recommendations recently, but this is probably because the share price is well below the long-term average prices of all oil giants. The oil price will be important; it shouldn't see the lows of May 2020 again anytime soon.

Saturn Oil & Gas: Small but nice.

A real alternative to the oil giants is the small Saturn Oil & Gas from Canada. The company produced 1,400 barrels a day at peak production before Corona and is looking for expansion opportunities. The production price is around 12 USD operationally, which still provides a nice margin on current levels production. Of course, the company also conducts forward business and tries to stabilize its income via the forward curve. This increases planning reliability for future cash flows from oil sales and serves to service all financial liabilities.

The company's largest properties are located in West Central Saskatchewan. The oil fields offer good access to the underground deposits of Viking light oil. We also consider the regulatory environment to be "oil-friendly" - this means that production here will last several years until new developments are made to renew or expand the portfolio of deposits. The falling US oil price of WTI has put many local companies in financial difficulties, which puts the management of Saturn Oil & Gas in an acquisition role. If demand remains at a low level worldwide due to the COVID pandemic, there will be good buying opportunities among competitors.

Conclusion: with 234.6 million shares outstanding and a price of CAD 0.10, the company is currently valued at just under EUR 15 million, while the share price was already at a high of CAD 0.30. Jim Payne, the CEO of dynaCERT with whom we are familiar, recently bought shares. One may expect that in the event of a general market turnaround in the oil sector, very rapid upward price movements will take place, as the stock is tight and hardly any shares are available at the current level. With some nerves and timing fortune, the time is ripe for a speculative entry. Goldman Sachs blows with the oil multinationals to the attack. Of course, we are actively watching this.


Author

André Will-Laudien

Born in Munich, he first studied economics and graduated in business administration at the Ludwig-Maximilians-University in 1995. As he was involved with the stock market at a very early stage, he now has more than 30 years of experience in the capital markets.

About the author



Conflict of interest & risk note

In accordance with §34b WpHG we would like to point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH may hold long or short positions in the aforementioned companies and that there may therefore be a conflict of interest. Apaton Finance GmbH may have a paid contractual relationship with the company, which is reported on in the context of the Apaton Finance GmbH Internet offer as well as in the social media, on partner sites or in e-mail messages. Further details can be found in our Conflict of Interest & Risk Disclosure.


Related comments:

22. October 2020 | 11:15 CET | by Stefan Feulner

JinkoSolar, Saturn Oil & Gas, Plug Power - Here comes the second chance!

  • Oil

The markets are correcting on a broad front. Hydrogen and fuel cell stocks, which have been booming for months, are taking a breath of fresh air. In a long-term trend, this is good and quite the norm. It is time to take a look at the fundamental aspects once again, in addition to the chart support zones and trend formations. Some companies have managed to position themselves broadly and can continue to grow solidly in the future. Others have only swum with the current and will go down in time. Now it is time to put the pearls into the account.

Read

24. September 2020 | 13:10 CET | by Mario Hose

BP, Saturn Oil & Gas, Shell: Citigroup and Goldman Sachs see oil price at USD 60

  • Oil

Oil producers may be facing an exciting turnaround. The experts from Citigroup and Goldman Sachs see the price of oil in 2021 already back at USD 60.00 per barrel or even above. The statements of the analysts are supported by the assumption that the current oversupply will have been reduced by then. The recovery of economies around the globe will bring demand for oil back to pre-corona pandemic levels by the end of 2021.

Read

21. August 2020 | 08:00 CET | by Mario Hose

BP, Saturn Oil & Gas, Shell - why this share is now interesting

  • Oil

The Corona pandemic is still keeping politics and business busy. The restrictions in everyday life are causing many changes for people. An end to the situation is not yet in sight and therefore great hope is being placed in the development of a vaccine against Covid-19. Those who want to position themselves for the time after this phase have excellent opportunities with the oil sector, one of the largest markets in the world.

Read