Menu

Recent Interviews

Nick Mather, CEO, SolGold PLC

Nick Mather
CEO | SolGold PLC
1 King Street, EC2V 8AU London (GB)

emichael@solgold.com.au

+44 20 3823 2125

SolGold CEO Nick Mather on building a major gold and copper mining company


Jared Scharf, CEO, Desert Gold Ventures Inc.

Jared Scharf
CEO | Desert Gold Ventures Inc.
4770 72nd St,, V4K 3N3 Delta (CAN)

jared.scharf@desertgold.ca

Desert Gold Ventures CEO Jared Scharf on West Africa and its potential


Stephan Dorfmeister, Finance Department, Deep Nature Project GmbH

Stephan Dorfmeister
Finance Department | Deep Nature Project GmbH
Untere Hauptstraße 168, 7122 Gols (AT)

office@deep-nature.at

+43 681 10139055

Like Aurora Cannabis and Canopy Growth, Deep Nature Project GmbH focuses on value chain


06. May 2020 | 05:57 CET

BP, Exxon, Shell, Saturn Oil & Gas - Crude oil up to USD 100 in May?

  • Oil

In recent weeks, even experienced investors have learned a lot about the oil market. When the price of WTI slipped into the red in April 2020, this was a first in the history of black gold. On the one hand, the oversupply of producers put pressure on prices, but speculators also caused the distortions. It was a dangerous mixture on the expiry date of the May contracts. In two weeks' time, the June contracts expire and the price development is eagerly awaited, but this time it can also go the other way.

time to read: 2 minutes by Mario Hose


 

Speculators have gambled away

Crude oil is traded on the futures market in units standardized in terms of quantity and quality. A barrel is equivalent to 159 litres and a lot is 1,000 barrels. The contracts are traded on commodity futures exchanges, such as NYMEX in the USA. The WTI grade stands for Western Texas Intermediate and is considered the standard for quality in physical delivery on the expiration date.

Transportation and storage costs are incurred in connection with the delivery. When the May contracts expired on 21 April, there were simply no buyers and anyone who wanted to get rid of a long position not only gave away the oil, but had to pay around USD 38.00 on top of it.

Shortage and short selling

Market participants have had a painful experience that is unlikely to be repeated on May 19, when the June contracts expire. A long squeeze in April could possibly be followed by a short squeeze until the May expiry date. Due to the low oil price, it is not worthwhile for many producers to continue production at normal levels. A throttling leads to a decline in supply.

At the same time, the economy and thus the demand for oil will continue to grow in the coming weeks. Speculators, who at the same time are betting that the oil price will be lower again at the expiry date, could possibly become the price driver with their coverages. Will the price of oil still rise to USD 100.00 per barrel in May? We will see. Most recently, the June contract for WTI was traded at USD 24.59 and has thus already risen by more than 100% compared to the previous week.

Advantage for Canadian oil

The shareholders of BP, Exxon and Shell will again have exciting days ahead of them. Up to the level at the beginning of the year, when the oil price was trading above USD 60.00, these shares will have to increase by 50%. A positive oil price development will also be exciting for the young producer Saturn Oil & Gas from Canada. The company produces the black gold in the province of Saskatchewan.

The deposits are located in the Viking Formation, consisting of sandstone, and can be extracted at less than CAD 15 per barrel more cost-effectively than the shale oil produced by the companies in the USA. This competitive advantage is likely to play into Saturn Oil & Gas' hands in the future. Especially since the management is also focusing on the ESG trend.

Harmless origin of the energy source

Oil will continue to be needed in the future in modern and aspiring society. In this context, the current market conditions can be an excellent opportunity to enter the market. In connection with the topic of sustainability and environmental protection, Canada as a location is likely to gain in importance.

Ethically and morally sound oil will have a competitive advantage in the medium to long term. Anyone who already places value on fair trade and organic farming should question which regime is supported at the fuel pump.


Conflict of interest & risk note

In accordance with §34b WpHG we would like to point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH may hold shares in the aforementioned companies and that there may therefore be a conflict of interest. Further details can be found in our Conflict of Interest & Risk Disclosure.


Related comments:

19. June 2020 | 07:42 CET

BP, Saturn Oil & Gas, Shell - China's oil imports at new record high

  • Oil

The Corona Pandemic has turned the world upside down in many areas in recent months. The energy sector has not been able to escape the changes. First the demand for crude oil collapsed and then production was cut back. In the meantime, restrictions around the globe are being eased again and there are still opportunities to position oneself to benefit from the post-Corona upswing. The habits of the population in big cities have changed. Public transport is being avoided due to the risk of infection and instead cars are being moved more. In China, an average of 11.34 million barrels of crude oil were imported per day in May 2020. This record value exceeds the previous record from November 2019 by around 160,000 barrels per day.

Read

03. June 2020 | 10:02 CET

BP, Saturn Oil & Gas, Shell - Revenue and profit increase significantly

  • Oil

The oil price continues to gain momentum and is still trading around 40% below the January 2020 level, and now the right stocks are in the spotlight. In addition to the well-known major oil producers such as BP and Shell, there are also successful producers who are not yet so well known, but who certainly have potential. Last night the young Canadian oil producer Saturn Oil & Gas published the results of the past fiscal year. Due to the Corona Pandemic, the company had postponed the release, which is currently nothing special and is officially made possible by an extended deadline.

Read

19. May 2020 | 15:56 CET

BP, Chevron, ENI, Saturn Oil & Gas, Shell, Total - what investors need to know now

  • Oil

About a month ago, market participants around the world learned that the end of a price slide does not have to end at zero on the expiry date of WTI contracts. Anyone who thought that a barrel of American WTI at USD 0.01, which is 159 litres of crude oil, would be a special bargain on the expiration date and took the chance was taught an expensive lesson. The expiration date of 20 April 2020 will go down in history with an initial negative settlement price of USD -37.63. The USA is known to be the land of opportunity and this seems to be another chapter.

Read