November 22nd, 2021 | 10:17 CET
TeamViewer, Aspermont, Palantir - Lockdown ahead: Corona drives the online world!
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Born in Munich, he first studied economics and graduated in business administration at the Ludwig-Maximilians-University in 1995. As he was involved with the stock market at a very early stage, he now has more than 30 years of experience in the capital markets.
TeamViewer - Completely off the rails
The fact that TeamViewer's strategic positioning fits perfectly into the pandemic landscape has not yet spread to the stock market. On the contrary - the share price is going down every day. Last week the price even ended up again near the all-time lows at around EUR 12.50. Even the capital market day on 10 November could not convince in retrospect. And large investors, such as Capital Group, are still getting out at this level.
If you look at the strategic positioning, you cannot believe it. After all, with video conferencing and remote IT maintenance software, the Company is well prepared for the necessities in a pandemic. In augmented reality, TeamViewer is in an excellent position after the acquisition of Ubimax, but the figures still show weaknesses.
For the third quarter, revenue growth of only 9% to EUR 127.7 million was reported, despite massive advertising measures, e.g. on the jerseys of Manchester United. The fact that nothing is left over operationally could also be due to the immense costs for the sponsorship contract, which is said to amount to a whopping EUR 50 million per season. Only EUR 3.7 million was left over for shareholders in the form of net profit, which many investors felt was just a tad too little. On the positive side, however, the number of paying subscribers rose by 10.8% to 628,000. Nevertheless, the share fell like a stone.
With the onset of winter, we face new contact restrictions and the next home office wave. It is a prime environment for TeamViewer's software. With a market capitalization of only EUR 2.5 billion, the technology company is also now becoming a bargain for industry giants such as SAP and Microsoft. Despite all the short-term disappointment, one should pay close attention to ensure that the possible turnaround does not speed past one's portfolio at full throttle. Collect and wait until the EUR 15 mark is regained. Then, however, take a firm grip because the EUR 20 line can be reached in a very short time in the highly liquid share.
Aspermont Ltd. - The multi-talent from Australia
The capital market specialist Aspermont Ltd. from Perth, a media and fintech company in one, is an entirely different story. Aspermont's core business is very old and includes the publication of the two longest-serving regular publications for the mining sector, Mining Journal and Mining Magazine. Both print publications date back to the last millennium in their inception and serve an extensive readership.
Excitingly, the business model has evolved over the last 5 years. On the one hand, the press and media business has been digitized as far as possible. On the other hand, the capital market business has been added, and a fintech strategy has been added to the sales side. Today's group is thus a service provider for globally listed public companies with a focus on commodities, which at the same time is moving into capital brokering. To this end, the Australians founded a platform to match investors with companies seeking capital. To generate the necessary deal flow, the Company works closely with management consultancies and securities traders in several locations, such as Singapore, Tokyo and Sidney.
The Company has been traded in Germany since this year and presented its 4th quarter figures at the beginning of November. Sales increased by 24% to AUD 4.3 million, with the strongest growth of +162% in the data business, but the software and service business also grew at double-digit rates. The gross profit increased indicatively from AUD 2.0 to 2.8 million, with a respectable margin of 65%. Therefore, the change in the group is already bearing fruit well. The number of customers and the corresponding ARPU (revenue per customer) also show a tidy increase.
After several years of investments, Aspermont is now slowly entering the harvesting phase. Cash flows are increasing noticeably, as, after many canceled roadshow events in the summer, a certain catch-up effect can also be felt among clients. The scaling of the business can now accelerate even further, as each new customer increases the revenue base, but this does not necessarily mean an increase in costs. Despite the good news, there is currently little movement in the share price, which can be purchased in Australia at AUD 0.022 or in Germany at around EUR 0.015. The turnover is so high that any position size can be traded.
Palantir Technologies - The data collector could not convince
Palantir Technologies, the data collector from Denver (Colorado), could not convince. In its Q3 presentation, it had to admit a margin of only 22% in the operating area, which was sequentially even a deterioration compared to the previous quarters, which were consistently above 30%. It remains striking that the Big Data specialist can indeed grow in sales with plus 35% to USD 392 million, but the bottom line is still an operating loss of USD 102 million.
As has often been pointed out, the income statement is burdened by high compensation for share-based income. Here, the Company has to buy shares at a high price to pay them out to employees as a bonus component. The Palantir business model is very promising because the Company earns money from all future technologies that process a large amount of data, such as autonomous mobility and space travel. Furthermore, they are also on board with awarding lucrative government contracts with their Big Data analytics tools.
Few business models are as disruptive as Palantir's platforms. The stock's market capitalization has fallen back to around USD 42 billion due to a 25% plunge, and the technical trend has also taken a bit of a hit. It is now crucial that the prominent USD 20 mark holds and investor interest returns at the discounted level in the next few days. Because below USD 20, there is no longer a holding line in chart terms.
Companies seeking their fortune in digitization have mushroomed in recent years. Palantir is a big fish in data analytics, and TeamViewer is strong in data transfer and joint-working. Aspermont Ltd. serves investors and enterprises alike. Get their interconnectedness right, and you can expect a considerable headline number in the services business.
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