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July 26th, 2026 | 07:00 CEST

Volkswagen Under Pressure! Is Porsche AG Ready to Accelerate? RE Royalties Near a Technical Breakout?

  • royalties
  • dividends
  • Investments
  • renewableenergy
  • Electromobility
Photo credits: Pixabay

The world remains mired in a web of conflicts and wars, leaving financial markets repeatedly holding their breath. Geopolitically, we appear to be heading towards a scenario that would have seemed unthinkable only a short time ago. Will the conflict with Iran escalate further? Are we facing devastating large-scale US air strikes in the Middle East, following the deployment of B-1 bombers to the region? Could the situation even escalate to the use of a tactical nuclear weapon, or is this historic sabre-rattling ultimately a calculated bluff by global powers—designed to trigger panic before the next major "TACO trade" unfolds? While investors grapple with uncertainty, Europe's traditional industries are coming under increasing pressure. The automotive sector and its suppliers are particularly vulnerable. Even iconic German industrial giants such as Volkswagen are showing signs of strain, prompting an increasingly uncomfortable question: Will Volkswagen still exist in five years? In this historic context, the wheat is truly being separated from the chaff. While traditional industries and corporations are fighting for their very survival, smaller niche players are seeing significant opportunities emerge. We take a closer look at where investors may still be able to generate attractive returns.

time to read: 4 minutes | Author: Matthias Schomber
ISIN: VOLKSWAGEN AG VZO O.N. | DE0007664039 , RE ROYALTIES LTD | CA75527Q1081 | TSXV: RE , OTCQX: RROYF , PORSCHE AG | DE000PAG9113

Table of contents:


    Author

    Matthias Schomber

    Raised in Giessen, Hesse, Matthias Schomber discovered his passion for the financial markets as early as the 1990s—at a time when stock trading was still largely the domain of true, die-hard traders. After completing his banking apprenticeship, he worked for a private bank there and witnessed the rise and fall of the Neuer Markt firsthand on the trading floor of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, drawing lessons from the experience that continue to shape his thinking as a trader, author, and trading system developer to this day.

    About the author



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    Volkswagen: The automaker is teetering dangerously

    Let's first turn our attention to a problem child of the German economy. The Volkswagen Group is currently going through very difficult times. The Wolfsburg-based automaker is grappling with a drastic drop in profits. In the second quarter, net profit plummeted by 33%; only about EUR 1.5 billion remains. Business in China is increasingly turning into a fiasco. Deliveries there plummeted by a whopping 37%. Although global revenue rose marginally to just over EUR 82 billion, the weak operating margin of 4.2% fell well short of expectations.

    CEO Oliver Blume is now planning a historic cost-cutting drive. A radical restructuring program is intended to reduce administrative costs by up to EUR 11 billion. Pure fear is spreading through the factories. Up to 50,000 job cuts are on the table. Some scenarios even suggest that 100,000 jobs are at risk. Well-known locations such as Hanover, Zwickau, Emden, and Neckarsulm are under scrutiny. The revenue forecast for the current year has been significantly lowered. This is putting the share price under massive pressure once again. The stock is currently trading around EUR 71. This represents a year-to-date loss of over 30%. The golden years in Wolfsburg seem to be over for the time being. The question even arises: will Volkswagen even still exist in five years? With such high personnel costs, if the company posts a loss rather than a profit, or if its margin collapses entirely, nothing can be ruled out.

    Porsche AG: Tough Cost-Cutting Measures in the Luxury Segment

    From the crisis-stricken parent company VW, the path leads to its more luxurious subsidiary. Porsche AG is also feeling the harsh winds of change. Porsche is operating significantly more profitably than Volkswagen, with an operating margin of nearly 9%. Its half-year profit also amounts to over EUR 1 billion—yet even here, not all that glitters is gold. Global deliveries fell by 16% in the first half of the year. Even well-heeled customers prefer to keep a tight grip on their money in times of crisis.

    Behind the scenes, a massive shake-up in personnel is also looming. Longtime Executive Board member Albrecht Reimold is retiring at the end of August. He is handing over the reins for production and logistics to Christian Friedl. This change at the operational helm is taking place at an extremely critical time.

    Porsche is currently rolling out its own "Future Package" for far-reaching restructuring. By 2035, up to 9,000 jobs could be cut. According to media reports, this primarily affects administration and development.

    Porsche AG's share price has also recently experienced a bit of a roller-coaster ride. It has recently stabilized at around EUR 44, still just above the 50-day SMA, and most recently, the 50-day SMA even managed to cross above the 200-day SMA from below. This is a bullish signal in technical analysis, and there are further glimmers of hope for loyal investors. Experts at Bankhaus Metzler see enormous upside potential in the stock. They recently set an optimistic price target of EUR 64. Porsche is now maintaining its high profitability through strict cost discipline and exclusive special-edition models.

    It looks as if Porsche's shares could finally be ready to gain momentum.

    RE Royalties: "Green Yield" and Technical Breakout Potential

    Those looking beyond the crisis-hit automotive industry will find a very different picture in certain niche markets and among smaller companies. RE Royalties is one such example. The company is an innovative pioneer in financing for renewable energy projects. Its business model is both highly innovative and proven to be resilient, even during periods of economic uncertainty.

    The company grants short-term, secured loans to project developers. In return, it receives long-term royalties from solar, wind, and energy storage projects. Over USD 83 million has already been invested in well over 100 projects. The internal rate of return stands at an impressive 19%. Sustainability and financial strength are nearly in harmony here.

    https://youtu.be/5dQvcZkFR7E

    This year, too, key decisions were made very early on. In February, an additional USD 800,000 was invested in a US solar portfolio managed by Solaris Energy. The total investment there is steadily growing to as much as USD 9 million.

    In March, the Executive Board also announced a far-reaching strategic review. The goal is now to maximize long-term value for shareholders. Even the sale of companies or major partnerships is being considered with an open mind.

    The company's fundamental strength is now also reflected in the chart, and things could get exciting. Fortunately, patience in the stock market is often rewarded. RE Royalties shares could now break out of its wedge pattern at a price of CAD 0.40 to 0.41. On the downside, the stock is well supported by a horizontal level at CAD 0.35 to 0.40. The shares could then begin to gain momentum again.

    According to technical analysis, an initial price target would then be in the region of CAD 0.50. In the event of a strong breakout, the CAD 0.60 range could even come into view. The project pipeline is well-stocked, and the company will likely continue to meet the industry's massive capital requirements profitably.

    Is a technical breakout imminent?

    In summary, the three stocks under review are going through completely different market phases. Volkswagen is struggling with a severe structural upheaval and massive sales slumps. Deep and painful cutbacks are completely unavoidable here.

    Porsche AG appears in a better position. However, it must also make significant cost cuts and restructure its management. However, positive signals are coming from both technical analysis and analysts.

    RE Royalties presents itself as an alternative option in these turbulent waters. The company is growing steadily and benefiting from the green transition. From both a fundamental and technical perspective, it offers a sober but thoroughly positive outlook for the coming months.


    Conflict of interest

    Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as "Relevant Persons") may hold shares or other financial instruments of the aforementioned companies in the future or may bet on rising or falling prices and thus a conflict of interest may arise in the future. The Relevant Persons reserve the right to buy or sell shares or other financial instruments of the Company at any time (hereinafter each a "Transaction"). Transactions may, under certain circumstances, influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the Company.

    In addition, Apaton Finance GmbH is active in the context of the preparation and publication of the reporting in paid contractual relationships.

    For this reason, there is a concrete conflict of interest.

    The above information on existing conflicts of interest applies to all types and forms of publication used by Apaton Finance GmbH for publications on companies.

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    Der Autor

    Matthias Schomber

    Raised in Giessen, Hesse, Matthias Schomber discovered his passion for the financial markets as early as the 1990s—at a time when stock trading was still largely the domain of true, die-hard traders. After completing his banking apprenticeship, he worked for a private bank there and witnessed the rise and fall of the Neuer Markt firsthand on the trading floor of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, drawing lessons from the experience that continue to shape his thinking as a trader, author, and trading system developer to this day.

    About the author



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