Copper
Commented by Fabian Lorenz on August 26th, 2021 | 11:08 CEST
Lang & Schwarz, NEL, GSP Resource - Short-term or long-term rebound?
No annual general meeting, no dividend, in-house tax discovery and loss of confidence - the news from Lang & Schwarz on Tuesday could hardly have been more severe. Accordingly, the share price fell by more than 35% in after-hours trading. On Wednesday, the share price rebounded with a double-digit gain. But the possible involvement of the stockbroker in the Cum-Ex deal will certainly keep investors busy for longer. The NEL share also made significant gains on Wednesday. It benefited from an order and the generally friendly mood in the hydrogen sector. Copper specialist GSP Resource has been on the rise again for some time because the raw material could soon become scarce. When asking how sustainable the rebound is in each case, one should look at the details.
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Commented by Stefan Feulner on August 20th, 2021 | 11:14 CEST
Geely, GSP Resource, Nel ASA - Taking advantage of the correction
After a ten-year high of over USD 10,500 per ton, copper is correcting and is currently scratching the USD 9,000 mark. In the short term, there is a favorable entry opportunity to participate in the next supercycle. Copper is the base metal of the energy transition. The high demand due to the switch to renewable energy sources is already being offset by an extremely tight supply. The result is rising prices in the long term.
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Commented by André Will-Laudien on August 19th, 2021 | 13:27 CEST
BYD, Fisker, Kodiak Copper, E.ON: Copper remains the linchpin!
According to the Paris Protocol, the implementation of the climate targets is based on the conversion to electric drives, the use of renewable energies, and sustainable raw material management. In addition to the development of new raw material deposits, especially in the field of battery metals, the topic of recycling is coming up. Here, too, it is crucial which resources are used to recover the metals. Currently, some copper projects are under development, but it will take 2-3 years before they can deliver. Part of the whole castling will also be the power companies because they have to provide the planned power purchase for the coming years, and this could be tight, especially for Germany.
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Commented by Stefan Feulner on August 13th, 2021 | 11:39 CEST
Steinhoff, Kodiak Copper, NIO - At the beginning of the trend
Rising inflation is making living more expensive. The culprit for the increase - in Germany, consumer prices rose by 3.8% in July compared to the same month last year - is increasingly expensive raw materials. In addition to agricultural commodities such as corn and wheat, metals in particular, which are urgently needed for the energy transition, are going through the roof. There is no end in sight to the price increase here; economists are already talking about a supercycle lasting years.
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Commented by Armin Schulz on August 9th, 2021 | 12:14 CEST
BYD, GSP Resource, Standard Lithium - Lithium hype, but do not forget copper
In recent weeks, real hype has broken out around lithium. It is said that lithium producers cannot adapt to demand so quickly. Due to the radical change of course in the automotive industry away from the combustion engine to the e-car, the demand for lithium will increase considerably. The price of lithium has already doubled from USD 5,000 to USD 10,000. It is expected that demand will increase by 300%. It should not be forgotten that copper is also essential for the switch to e-mobility. But it is not just in that sector that the demand for copper is increasing; worldwide, more and more people are gaining access to electricity. Today, we look at BYD, a manufacturer of e-vehicles, and two potential suppliers of copper and lithium.
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Commented by André Will-Laudien on August 5th, 2021 | 12:45 CEST
TUI, GSP Resource, NEL - The volcano starts to smoke!
Chart analysis is a popular tool among traders and investors to optimize trading in securities or derivatives. The goal is to forecast future price developments based on charting techniques. However, there is a need to remember that under the assumption of efficient market theory, a chart already contains all the available information. Unfortunately, there are as big misunderstandings in chart interpretation as in fundamental analysis. In charts, formations may or may not indicate a breakout, whereas fundamental information has historical and future significance. In all assumptions, we naturally assume that the stock market is always right, meaning that the current price reflects the Company's value at any point in time. But that does not make the decision any easier!
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Commented by Carsten Mainitz on July 30th, 2021 | 11:21 CEST
First Majestic Silver, Kodiak Copper, Orocobre - Metals for e-mobility offer great growth potential
Tesla, NIO and Polestar, the pioneers of e-mobility. But the global climate crisis and the realization that it can only be combated with the help of a consistent reduction in greenhouse gases has also led traditional car manufacturers to realize that alternative drive concepts are necessary, not least as a result of legal requirements. Electromobility has currently established itself as the most promising option. Manufacturers are now hastily trying to steer their product development in this direction and are making announcements about the end of the internal combustion engine: Jaguar wants to phase out the engine by 2025. Fiat, Volvo and Ford have announced the end of the engine by 2030. VW has set the period between 2033 and 2035 as its target, at least for Europe, and Audi wants to phase out entirely by then. Mercedes also has a similar date in mind. However, all e-cars have one thing in common: they are very hungry for raw materials. An e-car requires about four times as much copper as a combustion engine. Consumption of gold and silver (onboard electronics) and lithium (batteries) will also increase significantly.
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Commented by Armin Schulz on July 21st, 2021 | 12:49 CEST
QMines, Varta, Siemens Energy - Who benefits from the copper shortage?
The copper price has moved significantly upwards over the past year. On the one hand, this is due to the increasing demand caused by sustainability topics such as renewable energies, e-mobility and global electrification. On the other hand, the metal has become scarce. Whereas 60 profitable copper projects were launched in 2008, only 36 were established in 2020, and this with declining mining values. In 2015 0.65% copper per ton was still being mined; this value will fall to 0.55% by 2025. Existing large copper mines will also need billions in the coming years to maintain their production levels. These additional costs will be passed on to consumers. Today we highlight three companies that either produce or need copper.
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Commented by André Will-Laudien on July 20th, 2021 | 12:38 CEST
BYD, Volkswagen, Kodiak Copper: The 1000 Dollar Correction!
The copper price had reached its interim high in May 2021 at around USD 10,500. Since then, we have seen a standard consolidation of 10-15%, which is not an unusual occurrence in an uptrend. The increase since the beginning of 2020 is over 100%. Copper mines have been able to post multiple performances in the same period, and the recent correction was accordingly somewhat higher. For many market participants, however, the medium-term scenario for the industrial metal is set. Since the political closing of ranks on e-mobility, demand for copper and battery metals has shot through the roof. Mine operators worldwide are alarmed; the currently recoverable capacities cover just 85% of the demand from 2022. Who can close the gap?
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Commented by Carsten Mainitz on July 19th, 2021 | 11:05 CEST
Barrick Gold, GSP Resource, SMA Solar - Buy Prices?
Raw materials and energy are central prerequisites for our life as we know it not to stand still. Often it is only when there are supply bottlenecks and significant price jumps that we become aware of the importance of what is suddenly no longer readily available. Due to their fundamental importance, commodities and energy are therefore forward-looking investment themes. We present three exciting companies. Who will win the race?
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