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February 11th, 2025 | 07:10 CET

Buy Puma shares now? Caution advised with Renk, Rheinmetall & Co.! Hidden Gem Nova Pacific Metals launches!

  • Mining
  • Commodities
  • Defense
  • Sportswear
Photo credits: Rheinmetall AG

Even if it is not what Donald Trump wants to hear, the US is dependent on imports from Canada, particularly for raw materials. The tariff disputes only highlight this. Accordingly, Canadian raw materials stocks are coming to the attention of investors. One such hidden gem is Nova Pacific Metals, but this could change soon. In contrast, defense stocks could face a strong pullback as Donald Trump increases pressure. Is now the time to take profits at Renk, Rheinmetall, and Co.? Puma shareholders have been waiting for price gains for some time. Is now the time to enter the market after the recent crash?

time to read: 4 minutes | Author: Fabian Lorenz
ISIN: PUMA SE | DE0006969603 , RENK AG O.N. | DE000RENK730 , RHEINMETALL AG | DE0007030009 , NOVA PACIFIC METALS CORP | CA66979J1066

Table of contents:


    Dr. Thomas Gutschlag, CEO, Deutsche Rohstoff AG
    "[...] China's dominance is one of the reasons why we are so heavily involved in the tungsten market. Here, around 85% of production is in Chinese hands. [...]" Dr. Thomas Gutschlag, CEO, Deutsche Rohstoff AG

    Full interview

     

    Nova Pacific Metals: A New Raw Material Hidden Gem Ahead of a Pivotal Year

    If the tariff disputes surrounding Donald Trump have shown anything so far, it is that the US is dependent on imports from Canada. This is especially true for raw materials, and there is nothing wrong with that. After all, heavy oil, copper, and other materials are processed in the US, thus increasing their value. Canadian resource stocks are benefiting from the attention.

    Another insider tip is Nova Pacific Metals. The Company is focused on developing multi-mineral projects in Canada. Nova Pacific is currently concentrating on the Lara project, which is located in a well-developed mining region in British Columbia. The resource consists of copper, gold, silver, and zinc, among other things. The raw materials are thought to be close to surface, meaning that production could start relatively quickly.

    Nova Pacific recently announced that the 2025 drilling program would be significantly expanded. This decision comes after the analysis of historical data delivered convincing results. The region had already been explored in the 1990s, and data from that time includes 226 drill holes, providing essential information such as drill logs, downhole surveys, assays, and certificates. This forms a solid basis for the upcoming drilling program and also for future resource estimates.

    From Nova Pacific's perspective, the historical data is so compelling that the planned drilling program will be expanded from 19 to 49 drill holes. A total of 10,000 meters of drilling is planned. The aim is not only to confirm the historical results but also to expand the mineralization zone. Investors also view the prospects of success positively. The drill program is already fully financed through a successful capital increase. At a share price of CAD 0.34, the Company is valued at less than CAD 15 million. This presents significant upside potential if positive updates from the drilling program emerge throughout the year.

    Puma: Buy now?

    While investors in Nova Pacific can speculate on positive news flow in the coming months, it will likely take a little longer for Puma. The sportswear manufacturer is struggling with structural problems. The current range is apparently not what customers want, and costs are too high. Puma disappointed stock market players when it released its preliminary figures for 2024 with a net profit of EUR 282 million. Further cost-cutting measures are planned for 2025. A growth strategy looks different.

    With the bleak outlook, Puma shares have fallen by 35% since the beginning of the year alone. They are currently trying to find a floor between EUR 28 and 29. According to marketscreener.com, 10 out of 21 analysts recommend the stock as a "Buy". The average price target is around EUR 45. However, it has been continuously reduced in recent months.

    In contrast, eternal rival Adidas is riding a wave of success. The stock is trading at a multi-year high of EUR 255. Since the low in October 2022 at around EUR 99, the stock has thus more than doubled. Adidas sneakers are in line with customer tastes, and costs appear to be under control. Investors will likely need patience before this situation reaches Puma.

    German and international companies will present at the upcoming IIF. Registration is free.

    Renk: Donald Trump is putting the pressure on

    Investors have had a lot of joy with defense stocks in recent years. In addition to the perennial favorite Rheinmetall, Renk has finally picked up speed in the new year. However, the industry could soon face a significant pullback. Various US media outlets are reporting on a telephone conversation between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin. According to the reports, the two presidents discussed a negotiated solution to end the war between Ukraine and Russia. The fact that high-ranking US government officials are scheduled to travel to Europe this week suggests that progress might have been made.

    US National Security Advisor Mike Waltz did not comment specifically on the phone call, but he did exert the usual pressure on all parties involved. He pointed out that Russia's economy is struggling and that the US could impose additional tariffs and sanctions. In addition, the US might reduce its aid to Ukraine. Furthermore, he suggested that Europe should play a greater role in the Ukraine crisis. This is likely to force all parties to the negotiating table.

    Even though a ceasefire or even peace in Ukraine wouldn't end the shift in military spending, the sentiment for defense stocks would likely worsen, at least in the short term. There is likely to be profit-taking in Rheinmetall, Renk and Co. Shareholders should be prepared for this and, if necessary, take some of their profits.


    The battle for raw materials will intensify in 2025. Investors should particularly focus on companies with activities in regions with a stable legal environment. Nova Pacific is an undiscovered commodity play: the drilling program is fully financed, market capitalization is low, and there are prospects of positive news flow in the coming months. In contrast, it will likely take some time before Puma has positive news to report. The development of new collections that better reflect customers' tastes and cost reductions will take time. Renk certainly has positive long-term prospects, but an end to the war in Ukraine is likely to lead to a correction.


    Conflict of interest

    Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as "Relevant Persons") may hold shares or other financial instruments of the aforementioned companies in the future or may bet on rising or falling prices and thus a conflict of interest may arise in the future. The Relevant Persons reserve the right to buy or sell shares or other financial instruments of the Company at any time (hereinafter each a "Transaction"). Transactions may, under certain circumstances, influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the Company.

    In addition, Apaton Finance GmbH is active in the context of the preparation and publication of the reporting in paid contractual relationships.

    For this reason, there is a concrete conflict of interest.

    The above information on existing conflicts of interest applies to all types and forms of publication used by Apaton Finance GmbH for publications on companies.

    Risk notice

    Apaton Finance GmbH offers editors, agencies and companies the opportunity to publish commentaries, interviews, summaries, news and the like on news.financial. These contents are exclusively for the information of the readers and do not represent any call to action or recommendations, neither explicitly nor implicitly they are to be understood as an assurance of possible price developments. The contents do not replace individual expert investment advice and do not constitute an offer to sell the discussed share(s) or other financial instruments, nor an invitation to buy or sell such.

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    Der Autor

    Fabian Lorenz

    For more than twenty years, the Cologne native has been intensively involved with the stock market, both professionally and privately. He is particularly passionate about national and international small and micro caps.

    About the author



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